150 | Simon DeDeo on How Explanations Work and Why They Sometimes Fail

150 | Simon DeDeo on How Explanations Work and Why They Sometimes Fail

0 Calificaciones
0
Episodio
162 of 403
Duración
1H 32min
Idioma
Inglés
Formato
Categoría
No ficción

You observe a phenomenon, and come up with an explanation for it. That’s true for scientists, but also for literally every person. (Why won’t my car start? I bet it’s out of gas.) But there are literally an infinite number of possible explanations for every phenomenon we observe. How do we invent ones we think are promising, and then decide between them once invented? Simon DeDeo (in collaboration with Zachary Wojtowicz) has proposed a way to connect explanatory values (“simplicity,” “fitting the data,” etc) to specific mathematical expressions in Bayesian reasoning. We talk about what makes explanations good, and how they can get out of control, leading to conspiracy theories or general crackpottery, from QAnon to flat earthers.

Support Mindscape on Patreon.

Simon DeDeo received his Ph.D. in astrophysics from Princeton University. He is currently an Assistant Professor in Social and Decision Sciences at Carnegie Mellon University, and External Professor at the Santa Fe Institute.

Web siteCarnegie Mellon web page“From Probability to Consilience: How Explanatory Values Implement Bayesian Reasoning,” Wojtowicz and DeDeoAxiom of Chance blogGoogle Scholar publications

See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.


Escucha y lee

Descubre un mundo infinito de historias

  • Lee y escucha todo lo que quieras
  • Más de 1 millón de títulos
  • Títulos exclusivos + Storytel Originals
  • Precio regular: CLP 7,990 al mes
  • Cancela cuando quieras
Suscríbete ahora
Copy of Device Banner Block 894x1036 3
Cover for 150 | Simon DeDeo on How Explanations Work and Why They Sometimes Fail

Otros podcasts que te pueden gustar...