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Descubre un mundo infinito de historias

Escucha y lee

Todd T. De Voe

This podcast features strategies and advice from today’s leaders and experts in emergency management. Its purpose is to empower and enrich current and future leaders. 

emnetwork.substack.com

The Emergency Management Network Podcast

The salient point of this podcast episode revolves around the significant impact of Hurricane Melissa, which has made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 storm and is progressing northeastward towards the Bahamas. We meticulously delineate the potential hazards arising from this weather event, notably the elevated risk of rip currents and rough surf along the southeastern coast of the United States, particularly Florida. Additionally, the episode elaborates on various weather alerts, including a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, as well as a potential severe weather risk in eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia. We also address the imminent arrival of a moderate atmospheric river in the Pacific Northwest, which is expected to bring substantial rainfall. Furthermore, we discuss FEMA’s recent allocation of over $1 billion in federal funding to enhance safety measures in the host cities for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Hurricane Melissa has emerged as a formidable force, having made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, with its trajectory now directing it towards the Bahamas. Although the United States currently has no active watches, the ramifications of Hurricane Melissa are being felt along the southeastern coast, particularly in Florida, where the risk of rip currents and rough surf is markedly elevated. The National Weather Service has issued warnings to coastal residents and beachgoers to exercise caution due to these dangerous conditions, emphasizing the importance of heeding safety advisories during such severe weather events.

In addition to the impact of Hurricane Melissa, the Weather Prediction Center has highlighted a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, extending into the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. This is attributed to the influx of rain that is expected to saturate these regions today. Concurrently, the Storm Prediction Center has indicated a marginal severe weather risk for eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia, suggesting the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms later in the evening. The confluence of these weather patterns necessitates vigilant monitoring and preparedness among local residents.

Furthermore, looking towards the Pacific Northwest, a moderate atmospheric river is anticipated to commence its influence on Friday and Saturday, with the Weather Prediction Center flagging a marginal flood risk for Western Washington. This is in alignment with forecasts from the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, which anticipates several days of precipitation associated with this atmospheric river event. As federal funding has also been allocated to support the infrastructure for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup, the coordination between emergency management partners and local authorities has never been more crucial. Maintaining situational awareness and readiness is imperative as we navigate through this dynamic weather landscape.

Takeaways:

* Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Cuba and poses risks for Florida’s coast today, especially due to rip currents.

* A marginal flash flood risk has been issued for the Southern and Central Appalachians today, necessitating caution for residents in these regions.

* FEMA has announced over $1 billion in federal funding aimed at securing host cities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

* California is facing red flag warnings due to Santa Ana winds and low humidity, prompting pre-deployment of firefighting resources.

* The Pacific Northwest will experience a moderate atmospheric river, leading to potential flooding in Western Washington later this week.

* Several states, including Connecticut and New Jersey, are under marginal flood risks due to expected heavy rainfall in the upcoming days.

Source

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]

[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]

[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[CW3E AR Outlook (Oct 28) | https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/28Oct2025_Outlook/28Oct2025_Outlook.pdf]

[FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/print/txt/node/705701]

[NWS Los Angeles | https://www.weather.gov/lox/]

[NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/]

[Cal OES | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-predeploys-firefighting-resources-southern-california-ahead-of-dangerous-fire-weather/]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]

[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[NWS Wilmington | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.2026&lon=-77.8815]

[NWS Topsail Beach hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NCZ106&lat=34.3696&local_place1=Topsail+Beach+NC&lon=-77.6288&product1=Beach+Hazards+Statement&warncounty=NCC141&warnzone=NCZ106]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[NWS Charleston | https://www.weather.gov/chs/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[NWS Wakefield Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/akq/brief]

[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=sew&product=afd&site=nws&version=1]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

FEMA's Response: Over $1 Billion for 2026 FIFA World Cup Preparedness

The salient point of today’s discourse revolves around the dangerous heat currently gripping Southern California, accompanied by heat advisories in regions such as Los Angeles, Ventura, and San Diego. As we navigate through the weather phenomena affecting the United States, we observe that a robust cold front is advancing through southeastern Texas and coastal Louisiana, presenting a marginal risk of severe weather, including isolated strong storms. Concurrently, we note the presence of Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean, which, while not posing an immediate threat of landfall, continues to influence surf conditions along Florida’s Atlantic coastline. Additionally, various frost advisories and marine hazards are issued in states such as Connecticut and New Jersey, underscoring the diverse and challenging weather conditions that prevail across the nation. As we conclude this morning’s brief, we remain vigilant in monitoring these developments and will reconvene with further updates.

To provide a comprehensive overview, the episode meticulously details various advisories and warnings across different states, from California’s heat advisories to Louisiana’s severe storm potential. The National Weather Service’s alerts detail emerging freeze warnings in Colorado, as well as frost advisories in Connecticut, which may catch residents unprepared. Furthermore, beach hazards persist along the Atlantic coast, particularly in Florida, where rip currents pose a significant risk. The episode concludes with a reminder of the importance of preparedness and awareness in the face of rapidly changing weather conditions. As we navigate these tumultuous climatic challenges, the imperative to stay safe and informed resonates profoundly.

Takeaways:

* Southern California is currently under dangerous heat advisories, with temperatures soaring.

* A strong cold front is expected to sweep through southeast Texas, potentially bringing severe weather.

* Hurricane Melissa remains a powerful system in the Caribbean, influencing surf conditions in Florida.

* Numerous frost advisories are in effect across various regions, including Connecticut and Colorado.

* Marine hazards are prevalent along the New Jersey coastline due to strong winds and rough seas.

* No significant updates were reported from other states, indicating a stable weather pattern.

Sources

[NWS LOX/SGX | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.06076&lon=-118.23510]

[SPC Day 1 |

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html] [NWS LCH | https://www.weather.gov/lch/]

[WPC ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero]

[NHC Melissa | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&2025102811]

[USGS event | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/nc74238701]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard (Heat Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.06076&lon=-118.23510]

[NWS San Diego (WWA summary) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sgx&wwa=all]

[NWS Pueblo (Freeze Warning) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bou&wwa=all]

NWS Danbury (Frost Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.394817&lon=-73.454011]

[NWS Middletown (Frost Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.55&lon=-72.66]

[NWS Melbourne (Watches/Warnings page) | https://www.weather.gov/mlb/]

[FOX35 Orlando (current alerts summary citing NWS) | https://www.fox35orlando.com/weather-alerts]

[NWS Lake Charles (homepage hazards/marine) | https://www.weather.gov/lch/]

[NWS Lake Charles (AFD) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?glossary=1&issuedby=LCH&product=AFD&site=NWS]

[Sources: [NWS Boston/Norton (homepage hazards) | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Boston/Norton (Coastal Waters Forecast/Small Craft

Advisory) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=BOX&product=CWF&site=BOX]

NWS Mount Holly (Marine/Gale/Advisories) | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine]

[NWS Houston (briefing/forecast page) | https://www.weather.gov/hgx/https/www.nhc.noaa.gov/forecasts]

[SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Hurricane Melissa: The Caribbean's Impact on US Beaches

Show Notes: Socrates in the EOC

Episode Summary:In this episode of The Emergency Management Network, hosts Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore Socrates's timeless philosophy and how his method of inquiry, humility, and pursuit of wisdom apply to today’s emergency operations centers (EOCs). Through the Socratic lens, we examine leadership under pressure, decision-making amidst uncertainty, and the value of questioning assumptions in complex incident management.

Socrates taught that wisdom begins with recognizing ignorance — a deeply rooted principle in emergency management, where the unknown is ever-present. In this episode, Todd discusses how the “Socratic Method” can be used as a leadership tool to build trust, strengthen collaboration, and uncover blind spots in EOC decision-making.

From ancient Athens to modern-day crisis coordination, Socrates in the EOC challenges us to think critically, communicate honestly, and lead with humility.

Host: Todd T. DeVoe, CEM and Dan Scott, CEMProduced by: EMN MediaDuration: ~30 minutes

Topics Covered:

* What Socrates can teach modern leaders about uncertainty and truth.

* Applying the Socratic Method to EOC decision-making and briefings.

* The importance of intellectual humility in leadership.

* Why “I don’t know” is a strength, not a weakness.

* Encouraging curiosity and dissent as tools for better outcomes.

* Lessons for building resilient teams that think, not just react.

Quotable Moment:

“Socrates wasn’t afraid of being wrong — he was afraid of being unexamined. In the EOC, that mindset can mean the difference between rigidity and resilience.”

If you enjoyed this episode, subscribe to The Emergency Management Network wherever you get your podcasts. Use # SocratesInTheEOC to share your thoughts on how philosophy can improve leadership in emergency management.

Follow: Todd T DeVoe and Daniel Scott for future discussions on leadership, resilience, and crisis philosophy.

 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Socrates in the EOC

This podcast episode delineates the current meteorological conditions across the United States as of October 27, 2025, with particular emphasis on localized hazards rather than widespread severe weather threats. The discussion highlights various weather advisories, including winter storm warnings for the Greater Yellowstone region, where hazardous travel conditions are anticipated due to snow accumulation. Additionally, listeners are informed of elevated fire weather risks in southern Colorado, alongside gale conditions affecting mariners in Washington waters and a high surf advisory for California’s central coast. The episode further notes the continuation of frost and freeze advisories in New England and alerts regarding rip currents along Florida’s Atlantic beaches. As we navigate these diverse weather phenomena, we underscore the importance of remaining vigilant and adhering to local advisories for public safety.

Takeaways:

* The Storm Prediction Center has indicated that there is no severe thunderstorm risk across the United States today, focusing attention on localized hazards instead.

* In the Greater Yellowstone region, winter storm warnings remain in effect due to expected snowfall and potentially hazardous travel conditions until this evening.

* A high surf advisory has been issued for California’s central coast, warning of dangerous waves and strong rip currents that could pose a significant risk.

* Frost and freeze warnings are active across various areas of New England, indicating the likelihood of cold weather impacts on local conditions and activities.

* Florida’s Atlantic beaches are experiencing a high risk of rip currents, necessitating caution for beachgoers and mariners in the region.

* The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring Tropical Storm Sonia in the Eastern Pacific, although no significant U.S. impacts are anticipated at this time.

Sources

[SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS RIW (Yellowstone/Grand Teton) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.4566&lon=-110.8497]

[NWS RIW (Mammoth Hot Springs) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.9729&lon=-110.7038]

[NWS Bozeman/Big Sky | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.6835&lon=-111.0505]

[NWS Pueblo | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=38.8335&lon=-104.8218]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard (High Surf Advisory) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=all]

[NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/]

[NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Miami | https://www.weather.gov/mfl/]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc/localclimate]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard—High Surf Advisory | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=all]

[NWS San Diego—Santa Ana winds outlook | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/]

[NWS SB County point forecast—Wind Advisory ref. | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.4436&lon=-119.9180]

[NWS Pueblo—Red Flag Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=38.8335&lon=-104.8218]

[NWS Pueblo zone map | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=38.28&textField2=-104.63]

[NWS Miami—Rip Current Statement | https://www.weather.gov/mfl/]

[NWS Honolulu—Surf Forecast 10/27 | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF]

[NWS Honolulu—WFO page | https://www.weather.gov/hfo]

[NWS Boston/Norton—Hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Big Sky—Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.2846&lon=-111.3683]

[NWS Bozeman—Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.6835&lon=-111.0505]

[NWS Great Falls–AFD highlights | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=TFX&product=AFD&site=tfx]

[NWS Seattle—Hazards (Gale Warning noted) | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Old Faithful—Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.4566&lon=-110.8497]

[NWS Mammoth Hot Springs—Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.9729&lon=-110.7038]

[NWS Cheyenne—Advisory (Snowy Range) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=WYZ114]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

EM Morning Brief 10/27/2025

In today’s EM Morning Brief for Friday, October 24th, 2025, Cedric provides updates on various weather predictions and emergency management activities across the United States. Key points include excessive rainfall expected in the Pacific Northwest and northern California, a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms in Texas, and Tropical Storm Melissa’s potential life-threatening flooding in Jamaica and southern Hispaniola. FEMA reports several disaster declarations, including for severe storms in Alaska, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Nebraska. Additional weather advisories and disaster recovery information are highlighted for several states. Stay informed and stay safe.

00:00 Introduction and Today’s Overview00:06 Weather Alerts and Predictions00:23 Severe Thunderstorm Risks in Texas00:36 Tropical Storm Melissa Update00:49 Seismic Activity Report00:56 FEMA Disaster Recovery Updates01:12 State-by-State Emergency Updates01:14 Alaska Disaster Declaration01:35 California Wildfire Mitigation01:59 Indiana Freeze Warning02:11 Minnesota Severe Storms Update02:32 Nebraska Disaster Declaration02:56 North Dakota Disaster Declaration03:12 Oregon Pacific Storm System03:32 Texas Severe Weather Risk03:51 Washington Weather Advisory04:09 Conclusion and Safety Reminder

Sources

[FEMA DR-4893 (updated ~1 day) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4893]

[AK DHS&EM Storm Resources | https://ready.alaska.gov/]

[Cal OES update (Oct 23, ≤24h) | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/california-helps-harden-rural-shasta-homes-against-wildfire-2/]

[WPC Day-1/2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php]

[NWS Indy Freeze Warning (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=INZ060&warncounty=INC153&firewxzone=INZ060&local_place1=Shelburn%20IN&product1=Freeze%20Warning]

[FEMA DR-4894 (updated ~21h) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4894]

[FEMA Minnesota page (DR-4894-MN) | https://www.fema.gov/locations/minnesota]

[NEMA release (Oct 23, ≤24h) | https://nema.nebraska.gov/]

[Local coverage summary | https://www.1011now.com/2025/10/22/trump-promises-15-million-disaster-aid-nebraska/]

[FEMA Press Release (Oct 23) | https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20251023/president-donald-j-trump-approves-major-disaster-declaration-north-dakota]

[NWS Portland WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS KLWX/KMFR WWA text incl. high wind | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all]

[WPC Day-1/2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php]

[SPC Day-1 Outlook (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=JKL&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&format=TXT]

[WPC MPD #1205 — North TX | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1205&yr=2025]

[NWS Spokane AFD (Oct 24) | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OTX&issuedby=OTX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1]

[NWS Seattle hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

EM Morning Brief: Friday October 24, 2025

In today’s EM Morning Brief, Cedric covers weather alerts and updates for Thursday, October 23rd, 2025. Key highlights include freeze and frost alerts from the Ohio Valley to Appalachia, high surf advisories in Hawaii, and gale conditions in southern New England waters. Detailed state-specific updates include a precautionary boil water notice in Hallandale Beach, FL, high fire danger in central and north Georgia, and lake-effect rain in western New York. Stay informed and safe with your local NWS and EMA updates.

00:00 Introduction and National Weather Overview00:54 Regional Weather Alerts00:56 State-by-State Weather Updates03:54 Conclusion and Safety Reminders

Sources

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/; NWS HFO | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF]

[NWS BOX Marine | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=AEG&product=CWF&site=BOX]

[NWS Buffalo HWO | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF]

[NHC – Melissa Advisory #8 | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3%2Bshtml/230838.shtml?text=]

[NWS Juneau “News Headlines” | https://www.weather.gov/ajk/localclimate]

[Hallandale Beach | https://hallandalebeachfl.gov/1740/Precautionary-Boil-Water-Notices]

[NWS Peachtree City HWO | https://www.weather.gov/ffc/hwo]

[NWS HFO Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF]

[NWS Kauai Zone Page (HIZ003) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=HIZ003]

[NWS Wilmington OH – Indiana zones | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=INZ050&product1=Freeze%20Warning]

[NWS Jackson KY – Winter/Sig Wx page with Freeze Warning | https://www.weather.gov/jkl/sigwx_wintersnow2]

[NWS Boston/Norton – Coastal Waters Forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=AEG&product=CWF&site=BOX]

[NWS Buffalo HWO | https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFHWOBUF]

[NWS BUF Nearshore – Small Craft Advisories noted | https://www.weather.gov/buf/laketemp]

[NWS GSP hazard text (Freeze Warning) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ051&product1=Hazardous%20Weather%20Outlook]

[City of Hendersonville | https://www.hendersonvillenc.gov/water-sewer/customer-center/water-alerts]

[Town of Fort Mill update | https://fortmillsc.gov/CivicAlerts.aspx?AID=713]

[NWS Nashville – hazards | https://www.weather.gov/ohx/]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

EM Morning Brief: Thursday October 23rd, 2025

In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore the evolving balance of power between federal, state, and local governments in emergency management. Drawing from Todd’s doctoral research and professional experience, they unpack how “picket fence federalism” may actually find its most authentic expression in disaster management. From FEMA’s shifting role to the tension between autonomy and centralization, this conversation dives deep into what federalism means for practitioners on the ground… and what happens when the fence starts to shake.

Show Notes

Federalism has always been a delicate balance, a system designed to distribute power, but often pulled toward centralization in crisis. Emergency management sits right in the middle of that tension. Todd and Dan discuss how major disasters begin as local emergencies but inevitably become national spectacles, the role of subsidiarity in maintaining local agency, and why FEMA’s future may depend on its ability to act as a convener of partnerships rather than just a participant of last resort.

Topics covered include:

* How disasters expose the strengths and weaknesses of American federalism

* The philosophy behind picket fence federalism and its application to EM

* The evolution of FEMA from a relief bureau to a convener of capability

* Ethical federalism, subsidiarity, and the importance of proximity in governance

* How local innovation drives national doctrine

* Lessons from the Trump-era proposals to restructure FEMA

* The moral responsibility of emergency managers to protect the integrity of shared governance

Key takeaway:Emergency management may be America’s best living model of federalism today — not because it is perfect, but because it is cooperative, adaptive, and rooted in trust.
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Video:The Fault Lines of Federalism

In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore the evolving balance of power between federal, state, and local governments in emergency management. Drawing from Todd’s doctoral research and professional experience, they unpack how “picket fence federalism” may actually find its most authentic expression in disaster management. From FEMA’s shifting role to the tension between autonomy and centralization, this conversation dives deep into what federalism means for practitioners on the ground… and what happens when the fence starts to shake.

Show Notes

Federalism has always been a delicate balance, a system designed to distribute power, but often pulled toward centralization in crisis. Emergency management sits right in the middle of that tension. Todd and Dan discuss how major disasters begin as local emergencies but inevitably become national spectacles, the role of subsidiarity in maintaining local agency, and why FEMA’s future may depend on its ability to act as a convener of partnerships rather than just a participant of last resort.

Topics covered include:

* How disasters expose the strengths and weaknesses of American federalism

* The philosophy behind picket fence federalism and its application to EM

* The evolution of FEMA from a relief bureau to a convener of capability

* Ethical federalism, subsidiarity, and the importance of proximity in governance

* How local innovation drives national doctrine

* Lessons from the Trump-era proposals to restructure FEMA

* The moral responsibility of emergency managers to protect the integrity of shared governance

Key takeaway:Emergency management may be America's best living model of federalism today — not because it is perfect, but because it is cooperative, adaptive, and rooted in trust.
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Podcast The Fault Lines of Federalism:

Join Cedric for the EM Morning Brief on October 14, 2025. Western Alaska is in emergency response mode after Typhoon Halong’s remnants cause devastation, resulting in at least one fatality, two missing persons, and over 50 rescues. Central and southern California brace for heavy rain and potential flash flooding from an early-season Pacific storm. Tropical Storm Lorenzo remains in the Atlantic with no U.S. impact. A minor 2.6 earthquake strikes New York overnight with no damage reported. State-specific updates include ongoing recovery efforts and coastal impacts. Stay informed with the latest emergency management news.

00:00 Introduction and Headlines00:07 Western Alaska Emergency Response00:34 Pacific Storm in California00:54 Tropical Storm Lorenzo Update01:01 Minor Earthquake in New York01:08 State-by-State Weather Updates01:09 Alaska’s Continued Recovery Efforts01:45 California’s Storm Impact02:18 Connecticut Storm Cleanup02:38 New Jersey Coastal Flooding03:02 New York Disaster Emergency03:25 North Carolina Coastal Flooding03:52 Conclusion and Further Tracking

Sources

[Alaska DHSEM | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.10.12_Press%20Release%20-%20SEOC%202025%20October%20West%20Coast%20Storm%20-%20Update%20Oct.12.pdf]

[AP | https://apnews.com/article/44668913640e8482202320d38f08788e]

[WPC/NOAA | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[WPC MPD #1195 | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=1195&yr=2025]

[SPC/NOAA | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc]

[USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000rgze]

[Alaska DHSEM (official update Oct. 12 for ongoing incident) | https://ready.alaska.gov/Documents/PIO/PressReleases/2025.10.12_Press%20Release%20-%20SEOC%202025%20October%20West%20Coast%20Storm%20-%20Update%20Oct.12.pdf]

[AP | https://apnews.com/article/44668913640e8482202320d38f08788e]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/ ]

[Cal OES | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/california-deploys-resources-to-southern-california-ahead-of-significant-early-season-storm/]

[NWS New York (OKX) briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/DSSBuilder/LatestBriefing.pdf]

[CT Insider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/noreaster-update-rain-wind-totals-21098270.php]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[6ABC (today) | https://6abc.com/post/least-3-dead-dayslong-noreaster-brings-final-surge-coastal-flooding-jersey-shore/18003561/]

[NYS Governor Exec. Order 53 | https://www.governor.ny.gov/executive-order/no-53-declaring-disaster-emergency-counties-bronx-kings-nassau-new-york-queens]

[NWS New York briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/DSSBuilder/LatestBriefing.pdf]

[USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000rgze]

[DriveNC (NC-12 incidents) | https://drivenc.gov/index.html?id=749906&type=incident]

[NWS Morehead City briefing, Oct. 13 | https://www.weather.gov/media/mhx/LatestBriefing.pdf]
 

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EM Morning Brief - October 14, 2025

Why do we freeze when we should act? Why do organizations wait for the crisis to end before changing? In this episode, Todd DeVoe and Brian Colburn unpack the psychological trap of normalcy bias and its close cousin, complacency — the silent killers that erode readiness long before disaster strikes.

Drawing from behavioral science, real-world emergency management experience, and leadership philosophy, they explore how our brains resist change, why “business as usual” is so seductive, and how leaders can build cultures that recognize danger without panic and adapt without hesitation.

From the OODA and POP-DOC loops to the quiet moments before chaos hits, Todd and Dan challenge emergency managers to confront the most dangerous phrase in the field: “It’s fine — we’ve always done it this way.”

Show Notes:

Hosts: Todd T. DeVoe & Brian ColburnProduced by: The Emergency Management NetworkEpisode Length: ~45 minutesKey Themes Covered:

* Understanding Normalcy Bias: Why our minds reject disruptive information and how that plays out in disasters.

* Complacency as Organizational Decay: How routine and comfort create blind spots that make us brittle, not resilient.

* Lessons from the Field: Real-world examples where complacency cost time, trust, and sometimes lives.

* Cognitive Loops for Leaders: How frameworks like OODA and POP-DOC help break the freeze-response and restore situational awareness.

* The Moral Imperative of Readiness: Why awareness isn’t paranoia — it’s professionalism.

* Cultural Antidotes: Creating workplaces where curiosity and adaptation are rewarded more than compliance and comfort.

Referenced Concepts & Thinkers: John Boyd’s OODA Loop, Eric McNulty and the NPLI POP-DOC model, Daniel Kahneman’s cognitive biases, and Stoic and Taoist perspectives on awareness and control.
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Normalcy Bias and Complacency

Managing mass casualty or disaster incidents is challenging for any person or organization. Therefore, this paper identifies and describes common challenges to managing such situations, using case and lessons learned reports. It focuses on the sudden onset, man-made, or technologically caused mass casualty or disaster situations. Today we are talking with Vincent Aarts who began his emergency response and management career in 2001 as a wildland firefighter. Vincent left local emergency management for his current position as lead planner and systems integrator with the Office of Resilience and Emergency Management (OREM) – part of the Oregon Department of Human Services (ODHS). The OREM serves as the Emergency Support Function 6 – Mass Care lead agency for the state of Oregon.

Links
Todd DeVoe
Twitter handle: https://twitter.com/ToddTDeVoe
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/toddtdevoe/
Substack: https://emnetwork.substack.com/
Website: https://toddtdevoe.com/ 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Addressing the Challenges of Mass Care

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