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#1 Conventional wisdom states that coercion is rare, but I demonstrate that it is used frequently and to great effect. I define coercive engineered migration as the cross-border population movements that are deliberately created or manipulated to induce political, military, and economic concessions from a target state or states.
#2 Coercive engineered migration is when a group is expelled from its land or property by another group in order to take it over or eliminate them as a threat. It is a subset of a broader class of events that rely on the creation and exploitation of crises as means to political and military ends.
#3 There have been at least 56 attempts at coercive engineered migration since the 1951 Refugee Convention. The groups of people exploited have ranged from co-nationals to migrants and asylum seekers from abroad.
#4 The prevalence of coercive engineered migration is difficult to measure, as it is often embedded within outflows that are also engineered for other reasons. It is significantly less common than interstate territorial disputes, but more prevalent than both intrastate wars and extended intermediate deterrence crises.
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