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Astu lugude lõputusse maailma

Loe ja kuula

Todd T. De Voe

This podcast features strategies and advice from today’s leaders and experts in emergency management. Its purpose is to empower and enrich current and future leaders. 

emnetwork.substack.com

The Emergency Management Network Podcast

The salient point of this podcast episode is the report of a severe geomagnetic storm that reached G4 intensity, which may lead to potential disruptions in GPS and HF radio communications, as well as the possibility of auroras in high latitude regions. We also discuss the absence of tropical cyclones in both the Atlantic and Pacific regions, indicating a lack of immediate concern in those areas. Additionally, we note that the Storm Prediction Center has not identified any severe thunderstorm risks across the United States, although there may be isolated, non-severe thunderstorms in northern California. Winter weather remains a significant focus, particularly with lake effect snow tapering in the eastern Great Lakes and new winter storm warnings in effect for parts of the western states. We will continue to monitor the impacts of the geomagnetic storm and the evolving winter hazards across the regions of concern.

The current episode delves into the intricate phenomena of geomagnetic storms, particularly focusing on the recent severe G4 intensity storm reported by NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. This storm has significant implications for high latitude regions, where it is expected to affect GPS functionality and high-frequency (HF) radio communications, alongside the enchanting possibility of auroral displays for those fortunate enough to have clear skies. The episode meticulously illustrates the nuances of these atmospheric disturbances, providing listeners with a comprehensive understanding of how such solar activities intertwine with terrestrial weather patterns. Moreover, the discussion encompasses the broader context of winter weather forecasts, emphasizing the tapering of lake effect snow in the eastern Great Lakes and the impending mountain snow events in the western states, thus painting a multifaceted picture of the current meteorological landscape.

In addition to the geomagnetic disturbances, the episode offers insights into the ongoing winter weather advisories. Specifically, it highlights the persistent lake effect snow impacting Michigan and the Eastern Lake Ontario region, with detailed forecasts predicting additional accumulation in specified areas. The narrative progresses to include important updates from various state weather services, underscoring the operational readiness of utilities and transportation authorities in light of these extreme weather conditions. Throughout the discussion, the hosts maintain a focus on safety and preparedness, urging listeners to stay informed and vigilant as they navigate the complexities of the current weather situation.

The episode culminates in a thorough examination of the meteorological outlook, with hosts reiterating the significance of monitoring geomagnetic storm impacts and evolving winter hazards across the nation. By drawing connections between solar activities and terrestrial weather phenomena, this episode not only informs but also educates its audience about the intricate interplay of forces that govern our weather systems, leaving listeners with a richer appreciation for the complexities of nature.

Takeaways:

* The NOAA reported a severe geomagnetic storm reaching G4 intensity, impacting high latitude regions. 

* Aurora visibility is expected in high latitude areas, along with potential GPS and HF radio issues. 

* The National Hurricane Center indicates no tropical cyclones are active in the Atlantic or Pacific regions. 

* Weather conditions in the eastern Great Lakes involve tapering winter lake effect snow this morning. 

* Utilities and pipeline operators maintain a routine mitigation posture amid the ongoing winter hazards. 

* No significant earthquakes were reported in Alaska and California over the past day, ensuring regional stability. 

Sources

[SWPC | https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/severe-geomagnetic-storm-level-g4-reached-11012025]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?timeZone=utc&extent=7.62389,179.47266&extent=64.39694,320.09766&magnitude=all]

[NWS Sacramento (Sierra) | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sto&wwa=all]

[NWS Eureka (NW CA winds/mtn snow) | https://www.weather.gov/eka/]

[Caltrans QuickMap | https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/]

[Caltrans Road Conditions (I-80 example) | https://roads.dot.ca.gov/?roadnumber=80]

[NWS Gaylord briefing page (updated today) | https://www.weather.gov/apx]

[NWS Buffalo Advisory 6:36 AM EST Wed Nov 12 | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Winter%20Weather%20Advisory]

[TripCheck—North/Sw OR regional road conditions (updated

early AM) | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions/4]

[TripCheck—SW OR conditions & snow-zone segments | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/RoadConditions/7]

[TripCheck NOAA Pass Forecasts (Cascades of Lane Co.) | https://www.tripcheck.com/DynamicReports/Report/NoaaForecasts/5]

[NWS Seattle—Winter Storm Warning text (Cascades) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=SEW&wwa=winter%20storm%20warning]

[WSDOT Pass Reports hub | https://wsdot.com/travel/real-time/mountain-pass-reports];

[NOAA—Stevens Pass forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=47.7462&lon=-121.0859]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Navigating the Aftermath of the G4 Geomagnetic Storm

This podcast episode delivers a comprehensive overview of the significant meteorological events occurring on Veterans Day, November 11, 2025. A pronounced cold snap has instigated freeze and hard freeze warnings across various regions, notably in the Southeast, including Georgia and parts of Florida. Additionally, the episode elucidates the aftermath of substantial lake effect snow events in the Great Lakes region, which have resulted in hazardous commuting conditions due to slick roads. Furthermore, the podcast highlights critical fire weather advisories in South Central and South Texas, emphasizing the persistent threat posed by low humidity and gusty winds. As we navigate through the intricacies of the weather patterns affecting multiple states, we aim to inform and prepare our listeners for the challenges posed by these climatic phenomena.

Takeaways:

* On this Veterans Day, we observe a significant cold snap impacting the Southeast region. 

* Winter storm watches are in effect for the Sierra, signaling impending adverse travel conditions. 

* FEMA has established mobile disaster recovery centers to assist storm survivors in Missouri this week. 

* Critical fire weather warnings are issued for South Texas due to low humidity and high winds. 

* Northern Arizona is preparing for prescribed burns, which may produce smoke in nearby areas. 

* A widespread freeze is affecting much of north central Georgia, with temperatures dropping significantly. 

Sources

[Arizona Emergency Information Network] Arizona Department of Economic Security

[NWS Las Vegas (CAZ519 watch text)] National Weather Service

[NWS Reno — storm watch timing] National

Weather Service

[NWS San Diego — hazards] National

Weather Service

[NWS Tallahassee — hazards] National

Weather Service

[NWS Tallahassee — AFD with freeze/wind chill details] National Weather Service

[NWS Tallahassee — cold weather advisory text] National Weather Service

[NWS Atlanta/Peachtree City — freeze graphics] National

Weather Service

[NWS Atlanta — point forecast showing Freeze Warning timing]

National Weather Service+1

[NWS Atlanta — Cold Weather Advisory text] preview-forecast.weather.gov

[NWS Chicago — lake-effect event page] National Weather Service

[NWS Northern Indiana — DSS packet PDF] National Weather Service

[NWS Detroit/Pontiac — event summary] National Weather Service

[NWS Detroit — AFD with advisory/marine notes] National Weather Service

[FEMA — DRCs opening in seven counties] FEMA

[KFVS — schedule/locations roundup] 

https://www.kfvs12.com

[KY3 — Ozarks openings update] 

https://www.ky3.com

[NWS Great Falls — hazards overview] National

Weather Service

[NWS point forecast — Stanford, MT High Wind Warning timing]

National Weather Service

[NWS Reno — Winter Storm Watch] National

Weather Service

[NM Fire Info — Cibola prescribed burns] NM Fire Info

[NWS Charlotte point forecast — Freeze Warning] National Weather Service

[NWS Morehead City — Freeze Warning in effect] National Weather Service

[Central Oregon Fire Info — prescribed fire updates] Central

Oregon Fire Information

[NWS Austin/San Antonio — Red Flag Warning] National

Weather Service

[NWS AFD — Red Flag rationale/timing] National Weather Service

[NWS Laredo point forecast — Red Flag 10a–6p] National Weather Service

[NWS Cheyenne — High Wind Warning text] National Weather Service
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Fire Weather Concerns: Critical Alerts for South Texas

🎙️ Culture Wars and Catastrophe: When Division Becomes the Disaster

Emergency Management Network PodcastHosts: Todd DeVoe, CEM & Dan Scott, CEM

Episode Summary

In this timely and hard-hitting episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott delve into one of the most pressing and underappreciated threats facing modern society—not a hurricane or wildfire, but the growing divide within our communities. Culture Wars and Catastrophe: When Division Becomes the Disaster explores how political polarization, social fragmentation, and mistrust in institutions have created vulnerabilities as real as any physical hazard.

The hosts unpack how “us versus them” thinking disrupts preparedness, erodes cooperation, and turns neighbors into adversaries when disaster strikes. Drawing on history, philosophy, and lessons from the field, Todd and Dan discuss how culture wars transform into operational failures, and why unity and trust are essential elements of resilience.

Listeners will gain a deeper understanding of how division itself can escalate crises—and how emergency managers can serve as bridge builders in an increasingly divided nation.

Key Talking Points

* How Political Polarization and Mistrust Undermine Disaster Readiness and Response.

* When social division becomes a cascading failure in emergency management.

* The Role of Misinformation and Social Media in Amplifying Chaos During Crises.

* Lessons from history—when fractured societies failed to respond effectively to disaster.

* The philosophical lens: Hobbes, the social contract, and the erosion of civic unity.

* Strategies for rebuilding trust as infrastructure through transparency and inclusion.

* How EM professionals can model integrity, empathy, and collaboration across divides.

* Practical steps for keeping disaster communication nonpartisan and human-centered.

Quotes to Remember

“Disasters don’t care who you voted for—but they’ll expose what we’ve built between us.” – Todd DeVoe

“When unity breaks down, the incident doesn’t get smaller—it gets personal.” – Dan Scott

“Preparedness begins with trust, and trust begins with listening.” – Todd DeVoe

About the Hosts

Todd DeVoe, CEM, is the Editor-in-Chief of the Emergency Management Network and the Emergency Management Coordinator for the City of Inglewood. A veteran Navy Corpsman and educator, Todd brings over 25 years of leadership experience and a deep commitment to building resilient communities.

Dan Scott, CEM, is a regional emergency management leader, educator, and co-host of the EMN Podcast, bringing decades of operational and mentorship experience to the microphone.

Listen & Subscribe

🎧 Available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever you get your podcasts.💡 Subscribe to the Emergency Management Network Newsletter for thought leadership, policy analysis, and real-world insights on resilience and response.
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

When Division Becomes the Disaster

The predominant focus of today’s broadcast revolves around the critical fire weather conditions affecting several regions, particularly the Florida Panhandle and parts of Louisiana and Mississippi. We delineate the issuance of red flag warnings, which signify elevated fire risks due to gusty winds and arid humidity levels, thereby underscoring the potential for rapid fire spread should any ignition occur. Additionally, we address the impending freeze conditions anticipated across central and northern Texas, coupled with the dense fog advisories along the southern California coastline, which are significantly impairing visibility. Furthermore, we report on ongoing firefighting efforts in Virginia and West Virginia, where substantial progress has been made in containing wildfires. It is imperative that we remain vigilant and heed the warnings issued by meteorological authorities to ensure safety amidst these hazardous conditions.

Takeaways:

* The United States Marine Corps celebrates its 250th birthday today, marking a significant historical milestone. 

* Critical fire weather conditions are present, particularly in parts of the Florida Panhandle and southeast Mississippi. 

* Gusty northwest winds combined with low humidity create an environment conducive to rapid fire spread. 

* Dense fog advisories are in effect along the southern California coast, severely limiting visibility. 

* A widespread freeze is anticipated tonight, impacting central and northern regions significantly. 

* Fire crews are actively engaged in mopping up two fires in Virginia, with varying degrees of containment reported. 

Sponsor Mention

FloodMapp - https://go.emnmedia.com/EMNFloodMapp

Sources

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard & San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all]

[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]

[NWS Tallahassee | https://www.weather.gov/tae/]

[NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge AFD & Hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?glossary=1&issuedby=LIX&product=AFD&site=MOB]

[NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[NWS Warnings (national RFW roundup) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[NWS Jackson | https://www.weather.gov/jan/]

[NWS Houston/Galveston | https://www.weather.gov/hgx/]

[WDBJ7 | https://www.wdbj7.com/2025/11/09/bald-mountain-wildfire-chars-2200-acres/]

[WV MetroNews | https://wvmetronews.com/2025/11/09/crews-gaining-some-ground-on-pendleton-county-forest-fire/]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Fire Danger on the Rise: An In-Depth Look at Today's Alerts

The principal focus of this briefing is the ongoing river flooding affecting Washington’s Skokamish River, which has escalated to moderate flooding, resulting in significant impacts on local infrastructure. I, Cedric, present this EM Morning Brief for Friday, November 7, 2025, in which I will outline various critical weather advisories and hazardous conditions across multiple states. High winds are currently impacting travel along Wyoming’s I-80 and parts of Montana, while winter weather advisories persist in both Alaska and Southwest Montana. Additionally, the coastal regions of California are under advisories for high surf and coastal flooding, posing risks to small craft and recreational activities. This report aims to provide essential updates for emergency management and public safety in the face of these diverse weather challenges.

Takeaways:

* The current weather conditions indicate severe river flooding along Washington’s Skokamish River, necessitating awareness. 

* High winds are impacting travel and safety across Wyoming’s I-80 and adjacent regions in Montana. 

* Winter weather advisories are in effect for multiple regions, including Alaska and parts of the Pacific Northwest. 

* Small craft advisories have been issued along California’s coastal areas due to hazardous surf conditions. 

* The U.S. Geological Survey reports routine seismic activity across the United States, indicating stable conditions. 

* FEMA has updated disaster recovery information for Hurricane-affected areas, providing essential resources for survivors. 

Links referenced in this episode:

* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)

Companies mentioned in this episode:

* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)

* FEMA 

Sources

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-0.35156%2C173.84766&extent=67.64268%2C325.72266&magnitude=all&timeZone=utc]

[NWS Anchorage Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Coastal/Surf Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all]

[NWS Denver/Boulder HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bou&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook]

[NWS Mount Holly CWF/Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI]

[NWS Baltimore/Washington Freeze/Frost | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=all]

[NWS Great Falls Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tfx&wwa=winter+weather+advisory]

[NWS (West Glacier) High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.600584&lon=-113.722616]

[NWS Mount Holly Marine Forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI]

[NWS New York (NY Harbor) SCA | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz338&syn=anz300]

[NWS Portland Marine AFD/Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PQR&product=AFD&site=pqr]

[FEMA DR-4798 (Updated Nov 7) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4798]

[NWS Seattle Flood Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+warning]

[NWS Cheyenne High Wind Warning | https://www.weather.gov/cys/highwind]

[NWS Point Forecast (Granite Canon WY) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=CYS&map.x=186&map.y=230]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Flooding and Winds: A Comprehensive Weather Brief

The salient point of our discussion today revolves around the significant weather events currently impacting various regions across the United States. We commence with the early season influences from the Pacific, which have resulted in heavy rainfall and mountain snow in the Northwest and Northern California, alongside coastal hazards affecting Oregon and the Bay Area. Furthermore, the Northeast is experiencing the aftermath of a strong cold front, characterized by brisk winds that have led to scattered outages and downed limbs in Connecticut. Additionally, Alaska’s marine zones are grappling with severe freezing conditions and gale warnings, while Hawaii is under a high surf advisory, posing risks to coastal activities. We conclude with an overview of the broader weather landscape, noting the absence of active cyclones in the tropics, thus providing a comprehensive summary of the current meteorological challenges.

Takeaways:

* The Pacific Northwest is experiencing early season impacts, including heavy rain and mountain snow.

* Connecticut has reported scattered outages and downed limbs following overnight wind bursts.

* A high surf advisory is in effect for Hawaii, affecting north and east facing shores.

* Coastal hazards and minor flooding are anticipated around the Bay Area during high tide periods.

* Strong winds and hazardous marine conditions are expected in Long Island Sound this morning.

* Minor flooding is possible in Oregon due to ongoing coastal flood warnings and high surf advisories.

Sources

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php]

[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc]

[NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]

[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc]

[NWS “Heavy Freezing Spray Warning” summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning]

[NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Sacramento | https://www.weather.gov/sto/]

[CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn]

[NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[Boston 25 News advisory roundup | https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/weather-alert-high-wind-warnings-watches-posted-mass-gusts-up-60-mph/3K2HHB44KBA7HDIREZHE47LVNY/]

[NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/]

[NWS New York, NY | https://www.weather.gov/okx/]

[PIX11 via Yahoo — wind impacts roundup | https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/strong-damaging-winds-cause-chaos-111326054.html]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Medford (hazards & high surf) | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SEW&product=AFD&site=SEW]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Alaska Faces Severe Weather: Freezing Spray and Gale Warnings

The prevailing meteorological conditions today warrant significant attention, as a formidable Pacific atmospheric river continues to inundate the Northwestern region of the United States. With the advent of heavy precipitation, coupled with mountain snow and elevated surf conditions, we must remain vigilant regarding the potential for localized flooding and hazardous weather. The National Weather Service has issued flash flood risks, particularly along the northern California and southwestern Oregon coastlines, extending through Thursday morning. Moreover, high wind warnings are in effect, suggesting that residents should prepare for potential power outages and hazardous conditions. As we navigate through these tumultuous weather patterns, I urge all listeners to remain informed and take necessary precautions for their safety.

Takeaways:

* The Northwest is currently experiencing a significant atmospheric river, resulting in heavy precipitation and hazardous conditions.

* Coastal areas in Northern California and Southwest Oregon face a marginal risk of flash flooding through Thursday morning.

* High wind warnings and marine gale headlines are issued across multiple states, indicating dangerous weather conditions.

* Preparedness for power outages and tree damage is advised due to anticipated adverse weather impacts this evening.

* Severe weather warnings extend into New England, with expected wind gusts reaching up to 65 mph overnight.

* Winter weather advisories are in effect for mountainous regions in Montana, signaling potential snow and reduced visibility.

Sources

[WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Boston | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Gray (ME) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?baseLayer=terrain&format=dyfi&listOnlyShown=true&range=search&search=%7B%22starttime%22%3A%22-1+day%22%2C%22producttype%22%3A%22dyfi%22%2C%22orderby%22%3A%22time%22%7D]

[NOAA Marine FZAK52 | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZAK52.PAFC.html]

[NWS Eureka hazards & ZFP | https://www.weather.gov/eka/]

[Cal OES pre-deployment update, Nov 4 | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-pre-deploys-emergency-resources-ahead-of-significant-storm-impacts-in-northern-california/]

[NWS Gray (GYX) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Caribou (CAR) | https://www.weather.gov/car/]

[NWS Boston/Norton main page | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Boston “Weather Story” | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[NWS Detroit/Pontiac — USCG Sector Detroit marine dashboard

| https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit]

[NWS Billings WWA | https://www.weather.gov/byz/]

[NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/]

[NWS Gray (covers NH) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Albany | https://www.weather.gov/aly/]

[NWS Marine — South of Long Island ANZ815 | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz815&syn=anz898]

[NWS Cleveland Quick Brief/Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/cle/quick_brief]

[NWS Cleveland Marine | https://www.weather.gov/cle/marine_forecast]

[NWS Medford hazards | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/]

[Medford High Surf/Coastal Flood text | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Coastal+Flood+Watch&warnzone=ORZ021&lat=43.6598&lon=-124.1928]

[NWS Burlington | https://www.weather.gov/btv/]

[NWS Seattle hazards | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Flood Watch text (Mason Co.) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+watch]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Understanding the Marginal Flash Flood Risk in Northern California and Oregon

The primary focus of today’s discussion revolves around the absence of cyclonic activity in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific regions, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. The forecast indicates a period devoid of significant weather developments over the ensuing week, thereby suggesting limited severe weather potential. We also delve into the implications of a robust Pacific weather pattern, which is expected to generate marine gales and coastal hazards along the coasts of Washington and Oregon, while issuing wind advisories and coastal flood warnings for the San Francisco Bay area. Additionally, we address elevated fire weather concerns in the High Plains, particularly in western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota, where critical fire conditions are forecasted. In conclusion, we provide an overview of the current weather advisories across various states, emphasizing the importance of remaining vigilant amidst these conditions.

Takeaways:

* The National Hurricane Center currently reports no cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific regions.

* Severe weather potential remains limited today, with only routine thunder chances noted out west.

* A magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded south of Kotzebue, Alaska, prompting automatic aftershock monitoring.

* California is under a Wind Advisory and a multi-day Coastal Flood advisory for the San Francisco Bay area.

* Critical fire weather warnings are in effect for parts of western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota today.

* Gale warnings are issued for Washington coastal waters due to high winds and significant seas.

Sources

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[NHC EPac | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/041124_MIATWOEP.shtml]

[SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS SF Bay Zone Hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ508]

[NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[USGS Event | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/ak025e5h93e7]

[NWS SF MapClick (San Francisco) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=37.7771&lon=-122.4196]

[NWS Bay Area WFO | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Alberton MT MapClick | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=47.09982&textField2=-114.42633]

[NWS Montana statewide hazards | https://www.weather.gov/byz/montana_statewide_information]

[NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[NWS North Platte AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LBF&product=AFD&site=LBF&format=ci&version=1]

[NWS Portland WFO | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Portland WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all]

[NWS Rapid City — Red Flag Warning | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=unr&wwa=all]

[NWS Burlington HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=btv&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook]

[NWS Seattle WFO | https://www.weather.gov/sew/], [KSEW Marine Gale Warning text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=all]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Critical Fire Weather Alerts: Nebraska and South Dakota

Episode Summary

In this thought-provoking episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore “The Myth of Control”—a concept that challenges one of the most fundamental assumptions in emergency management: that we can control chaos. Drawing from philosophy, leadership theory, and real-world emergency operations, they unpack how the illusion of control shapes decisions, policies, and leadership under pressure.

The hosts discuss the paradox that while control provides comfort and structure, it can also lead to rigidity and tunnel vision during crises. They explore the balance between preparedness and adaptability, and how embracing uncertainty can make leaders—and organizations—more resilient.

Listeners will leave with a deeper understanding of why humility, trust, and systems thinking are essential for navigating disasters' unpredictable nature.

Key Talking Points

* What “control” means in emergency management and why it’s an illusion.

* The difference between command and influence in crisis leadership.

* Stoic and philosophical insights on accepting uncertainty and focusing on what can be controlled.

* How overconfidence and bureaucratic rigidity undermine effective response.

* Real-world examples where flexibility outperformed strict adherence to plans.

* Building cultures that prioritize adaptability, learning, and empowerment over control.

* Emotional intelligence, trust, and psychological safety are essential in EOC leadership.

* Practical strategies for letting go—trusting your team, systems, and training.

Quotes to Remember

“Control is the myth we tell ourselves to feel safe in the storm.” – Todd DeVoe

“In crisis leadership, it’s not about controlling every variable—it’s about influencing outcomes through people.” – Dan Scott

About the Hosts

Todd DeVoe, CEM, is the Editor-in-Chief of the Emergency Management Network and the Emergency Management Coordinator for the City of Inglewood.

Dan Scott, CEM, is a regional emergency management leader and co-host of the EMN Podcast, bringing decades of operational experience and mentorship to the discussion.

Listen & Subscribe

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The Myth of Control

The salient point of today’s discussion pertains to the impending adverse weather conditions across various states as a fast-moving cold front approaches the Northeast. We elucidate the potential ramifications of this meteorological phenomenon, including gusty winds and scattered showers, which are anticipated to affect numerous regions. Furthermore, we highlight the marine gales and the resultant hazardous surf conditions on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine, as well as the marginal flood risks in western Washington and northwest Oregon. Our analysis extends to specific states, detailing the surf hazards in California and the gale conditions prevalent in Michigan and Ohio. As we conclude, we emphasize the importance of remaining vigilant and informed as these weather patterns develop.

Takeaways:

* A fast-moving cold front is expected to sweep through the Northeast today, bringing gusty winds and scattered showers.

* Marine gales and rough surf conditions are anticipated on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine due to the approaching weather system.

* A marginal flood risk persists over parts of western Washington and northwest Oregon as a wet Pacific pattern commences.

* Residents of Mason County should prepare for potential river rises later in the week, particularly on the Skokomish River.

* In California, hazardous surf conditions are anticipated as a strengthening Pacific system begins to affect the Bay Area today.

* Marine hazards are prevalent across multiple states, including gale conditions and significant wave heights on regional lakes.

Sources

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[USGS Earthquake Feeds | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/]

[NWS Bay Area hazard page | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS AFDMTR 4:05 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&product=AFD&issuedby=MTR]

[NDBC Marine Forecast KMTR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KMTR.html]

[SFGATE forecast update, published today | https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/bay-area-widespread-rain-thunder-wind-weather-21134293.php]

[NWS Gray ME hazards | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Boston/BOX marine hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/box/marine]

[NWS Detroit AFD 4:46 AM EST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=DTX&product=AFD&issuedby=DTX]

[USCG/NWS Sector Detroit marine dashboard (Lake Erie wave

heights/gale) | https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit]

[NWS Cleveland Nearshore/LE Marine Forecast | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS61.KCLE.html]

[NWS Portland hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Marine Forecast KPQR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KPQR.html]

[NWS Seattle Hydrologic Outlook 3:10 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WAZ321&warncounty=WAC045&product1=Hydrologic+Outlook]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Anticipating Adverse Weather: Safety Measures and Precautions

Join Josh Bowen and Todd De Voe as they discuss ways you can make your community antifragile. 

Today Communities are facing complex challenges, natural and human-caused disasters, political division, supply chain issues, globalization, urbanization, homelessness, and land-use problems. 

To help strengthen our communities, we must address these threats, and a call for action that combines disaster preparedness with empathy, robust planning, and moving toward being an antifragile society. 

Community resilience focuses on reducing the negative impacts of disasters and becoming stronger after the event. An antifragile community is socially connected and is able to withstand disaster and foster a strong recovery to become better. Antifragile communities promote individual and collective programs to strengthen their residents for daily, and extreme, challenges.

Todd DeVoe 
Twitter handle: https://twitter.com/ToddTDeVoe
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/toddtdevoe/
Substack: https://emnetwork.substack.com/
Website: https://toddtdevoe.com/ 

Josh Bowen
Twitter: https://twitter.com/joshsbowen
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/josh-bowen/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NAIT/
website: https://www.nait.ca/cadem
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/nait/
Youtuve: https://www.youtube.com/user/naitvideos 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Leading Resilient & Robust Communities

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