Where the Trading Business is Going

The business of trading is going to AI and more algorithms in the hands of new traders and retail investors. If you are trying to figure out what headlines are going to drive prices, you're a better person than me. I would rely on computers to do that Bill Dunn, a 100% purely systematic trader since the early 70s, has been incorporating all the data he can find and incorporates that into his model. Since 1974, he has taken only 1 discretionary "trade" and that was in advance of December 31, 1999 or the Y2K issue. The trade was to go flat and offset all his positions since he had no historical information to base his decisions on - including existing positions. This trade was taken to protect his clients' funds. Other than that, he has only traded system generated orders for over 40 years. If you are trying to raise capital, you'll have to have a good answer for prospective clients as to why you think you can shoot from the hip and make clients money as a discretionary chart reader In that regard, you are the share price and security. What information does the potential / allocator have based upon your behavior around security selection and trade management that will give them enough confidence in you to give you an allocation. You'll make more money by managing OPM - Other People's Money and taking an Incentive Fee. Ray Dalio feels that you should learn to code regardless of the industry that you're in else you'll be replaced by a computer. The computer can make the decisions faster, without emotion, and without error. Ray makes his decision in parallel with the computer and it provides "check and balances" between his thinking and what the calculations can show. He also won't leave out a key piece of data.