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Hlustaðu og lestu

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

You can afford anything, but not everything. We make daily decisions about how to spend money, time, energy, focus and attention – and ultimately, our life.
How do we make smarter decisions? How do we think from first principles?
On the surface, Afford Anything seems like a podcast about money and investing.
But under the hood, this is a show about how to think critically, recognize our behavioral blind spots, and make smarter choices. We’re into the psychology of money, and we love metacognition: thinking about how to think.
In some episodes, we interview world-class experts: professors, researchers, scientists, authors. In other episodes, we answer your questions, talking through decision-making frameworks and mental models.
Want to learn more? Download our free book, Escape, at http://affordanything.com/escape. Hosted by Paula Pant.

Afford Anything

#649: Many first-time buyers feel like they’re watching the train pull out of the station. If you’ve saved for years but can’t afford a home nearby, should you stretch to buy further (maybe hours) away or invest that cash instead?

In this episode, we dig into the psychology, math, and lifestyle tradeoffs behind the “buy now or wait” dilemma. Plus, we unpack total return, explain when umbrella insurance is worth it, and share what every teen should learn about money.

_______________________________________________

Listener Questions in This Episode

Anonymous (aka “Lydia”) (3:26): ”I saved six figures for a down payment, but houses are still out of reach. Do I buy far away, rent forever, or invest the cash instead?”

Lydia, an Australian listener, spent eight years saving for a home, only to find that every option feels like a compromise. Sky-high prices close to work, or long commutes for affordability. It’s a dilemma many face: does owning mean freedom, or does it just tie you down?

We explore how to separate fear from opportunity, why “starter-home-turned-rental” plans often backfire, and how to measure the real cost of lost time when you move hours from work. Ultimately, it’s about aligning your money with your life, not the headlines.

Anonymous (aka “Aristotle”) (29:38): “My ETF is up 10% and yields 3%. Is my net return 13%?”

It’s a common question for anyone tracking their investments. We unpack the difference between total return and your personal rate of return, and why those two numbers rarely match. You’ll learn what actually drives performance, and how to read your brokerage dashboard like a pro.

Joel (39:44): “Umbrella insurance; do we need it and how much?”

If you own a home, drive a car, or rent out a property, you’re exposed to more liability than you might realize. We break down how umbrella insurance works, when it’s essential, and how much coverage makes sense. It’s one of the cheapest ways to protect your wealth.

Julia (56:13): “I’m building a high-school personal finance course. Should I cover insurance or credit?”

When teaching teenagers about money, where do you start? We explore why understanding decision-making (opportunity cost, compounding, and spotting bad financial advice) matters more than memorizing credit scores or insurance terms.

Key Takeaways

 Don’t buy from FOMO; let lifestyle goals—not market panic—drive your choices.

 Total return includes price changes and income, but your broker’s “personal rate of return” shows the truest number.

 Umbrella insurance offers millions in protection for relatively little cost; bundle it with home and auto.

 Teach teens the “why” behind money choices before the “what.” Understanding tradeoffs beats memorizing rules.

Chapters

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(4:14) Anonymous Lydia’s question: should I buy now or invest my down payment?

(8:23) The emotional trap of FOMO and rising prices

(11:45) Why “live there now, rent it later” rarely works

(22:14) The hidden cost of long commutes and lifestyle tradeoffs

(29:38) Anonymous Aristotle’s question: how do I calculate my true investment return?

(39:44) Joel’s question: Is umbrella insurance worth it and how much should I buy?

(56:13) Julia’s question: what high schoolers should learn first about money
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Q&A: Should You Buy a House Now or Invest Your Down Payment Instead?

#648: The U.S. government is shutting down. Bitcoin just hit a record high. Inflation whispers are back. And Wall Street is buzzing with speculation.

What does this all mean for your money, your portfolio, and your long-term financial freedom? On this First Friday episode, we unpack the economic headlines you can’t ignore — and help you separate signal from noise.

In this episode, we cover:

 Government Shutdown: What happens when Washington goes dark, and how it could ripple into the markets, interest rates, and your daily life

 Bitcoin at Record Highs: Why crypto is rallying, what history tells us about speculative manias, and whether this time might be different

 Jobs Report and Inflation Watch: The latest labor market data, its implications for the Fed, and how it could shape borrowing costs

 Investor Behavior in Uncertainty: Why volatility can make us overreact, and how to stay grounded in your long-term strategy

Key Takeaways

 Government shutdowns create noise, but historically their long-term market impact is minimal

 Bitcoin’s surge reflects both speculation and broader demand for decentralized assets — but extreme volatility remains

 The labor market remains resilient, keeping inflation risks on the radar and Fed policy in focus

 Emotional investing is costly: staying calm during uncertainty is one of the best ways to protect your wealth.

This month’s headlines feel dramatic — shutdowns, soaring crypto, inflation fears. But the timeless principles of money management still apply: diversify, stay disciplined, and don’t let headlines dictate your portfolio.

Key moments:

(00:00) Jobs Reporting from ADP

(08:28) Interest Rates and Mortgages

(18:07) Social Security Age

(25:36) Consumer Spending and Inflation

(31:56) Bitcoin and Gold reach new highs

(34:31) Quarterly Reporting for Publicly Traded Companies may go to twice-a-year
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First Friday: The Government Shuts Down -- But Bitcoin is at an All-Time High?!?

#647: What if you and your partner want to take a few months – or even a year – off work? 

How do you handle health insurance once you leave your jobs? 

And how do you make sure the time off isn’t wasted, but becomes a launchpad for what’s next?

In this week’s Q&A, we dive into those questions. 

We also cover three more listener questions: what to do with a leftover $125,000 in a 529 account, how one listener landed a fully remote job with a 30 percent raise, and whether you can amend your taxes after a FEMA-declared disaster.

Listener Questions:

Danielle (04:35): “We want a mini-retirement. What should we do about health insurance – and how can we make the most of the time off?” Danielle and her husband want a break, but don’t want to go uninsured, and they also don't want to squander their mini-retirement. We look at what happens when you leave a job, where to find coverage, and how to design a mini-retirement that sparks discovery instead of regret.

Lee (32:17): “We have $125,000 left in a 529 account. No one needs it for school. What should we do?”A six-figure leftover balance sounds great, but it comes with tricky rules. Can you roll it into a Roth IRA? Use it for other programs? Withdraw without a tax hit? We explore the surprising flexibility inside a 529.

Pedro (44:06): “I followed your job search advice – and just landed a new role!”Pedro once struggled with dead-end applications. Now he’s celebrating a fully remote job, a big raise, and better alignment. How did he do it? By targeting the intersection of his skills and industry, instead of casting a wide net.

Melanie (53:35): “I spent $45,000 after a FEMA-declared disaster. Later, Congress passed retroactive tax relief. Can I benefit?”Disaster tax relief is confusing, especially when laws apply after the fact. Melanie asks if she can amend her return to capture new benefits. We talk timelines, amended return rules, and why professional help matters.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

Key Highlights

 
How to get health insurance during a mini-retirement.

 
Why treating time off as a “science experiment” can reshape your career.

 
Smart options for a leftover 529 account (including new Roth IRA rollovers).

 
A real listener’s success story: from stalled applications to a remote job with a 30% raise.

 
What to know about amended returns for FEMA-declared disasters.

Resources

Pedro's original question on Episode 605

Healthcare.gov — ACA marketplace for insurance enrollment

The Power of Fun by Catherine Price

Digital Minimalism by Cal Newport

Freedom app — tool for blocking distractions

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Q&A: How Do You Maximize a Mini-Retirement?

#646: What if you didn’t have to choose between grinding full-time until retirement or quitting work altogether?

By 40, Andy Hill and his wife had built a $500,000 portfolio and paid off their home. Instead of racing toward early retirement, they chose a third way: scaling back to part-time work, becoming equal partners in parenting, and reclaiming their time.

In this episode, recorded live at FinCon, Andy shares his 10-step framework for building a “Coast FIRE” lifestyle — where your investments can coast toward retirement while you focus on living today.

__________________________

The Middle Path Beyond FIRE

Most of us think of retirement as a cliff: one day you’re working, the next day you’re not. Andy challenges that binary. He and his wife structured their careers to work 20–25 hours per week each, creating a rhythm that gave them more time with their children, each other, and their health.

He breaks down the mindset shifts and tactical steps — from eliminating debt and protecting your family with insurance to stockpiling FU money and designing a three-day workweek. Along the way, he explains how Coast FIRE frees you from mandatory retirement contributions and opens doors to a flexible, meaningful life.

__________________________

Key Takeaways:

Balance beats extremes. Neither full-time grind nor full-time stay-at-home felt right; designing a flexible, part-time work life created the equilibrium their family needed.

Cash buffers change behavior. A 3–6 month emergency fund reduces stress and scarcity thinking, making it easier to parent calmly and make better money decisions.

Choose time over trappings. Fancy upgrades aren’t worth trading away presence; prioritizing family time beats lifestyle escalation.

Resources mentioned:

 Andy Hill's book on Amazon: Own Your Time

 Marriage, Kids, and Money Podcast

(4:01) Why the shift

(5:35) What their life looks like now

(9:08) Why extremes didn’t work for Andy and Nicole

(14:45) Step 1 Dream and define your ideal life

(18:21) Step 2 Commit to living without high-interest debt

(20:38) Step 3 Protect your family (insurance, estate plan, emergency fund)

(27:04) Step 4 Invest to reach Coast FIRE

(30:29) Step 5 Pay off your home (or optimize if renting

(36:21) Step 6 Stockpile FU money

(47:53) Step 7 Design a three-day workweek

(57:02) Step 8 Plan your intentional four-day weekend

(1:02:39) Step 9 Simplify to avoid lifestyle creep

(1:08:56) Step 10 Teach your kids the path to time freedom

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, or with your neighbor with the tricked-out basement : https://affordanything.com/episode646
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The Third Option Between Working and Retiring

#645: 

Mike (02:50): After 15 years of intentional living, Mike is 80 percent of the way to financial independence. Now he’s trying to help friends take control of their own financial future. But what happens when one spouse is eager to learn and invest, while the other isn’t interested?

Michael (27:07): For two years, Michael has tracked his net worth monthly. So far, growth has been driven almost entirely by how much he saved. But when will investment returns begin to take over and shift that steady line into an exponential curve?

Alvaro (34:00): After 15 years of investing in U.S. and European real estate, Alvaro has a big decision to make. Should he leverage a commercial loan to build an ADU for short-term rental income, or take on more personal debt to expand their family home?

Jonathan (58:50): After hearing Paula and Joe discuss the efficient frontier — and then listening to Big ERN, Paul Merriman, and JL Collins — Jonathan can’t help but wonder: has Joe’s perspective evolved? Is the simple path still enough, or is there merit in a more complex approach?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

P.S. Got a question? Leave it ⁠here⁠.

Resources Mentioned:

JL Collins Part 1 and Part 2

Karsten Jeske (Big Ern) Episode 643

Paul Merriman Episode 550

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, your veterinarian: https://affordanything.com/episode645
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Q&A: My Friend Won’t Invest - How Can I Help?

#644: Why do we both crave money and resent it? Why do some people sabotage their financial futures in the name of short-term comfort? And why is your brain — not the stock market — the biggest threat to your wealth?

In this conversation, we explore the surprising ways that psychology and money intertwine. Our guest, Dr. Daniel Crosby, is a behavioral finance expert, psychologist, and bestselling author of The Soul of Wealth, The Behavioral Investor, and The Laws of Wealth. His research dives into how our emotions, childhood scripts, and personalities shape the financial decisions we make every day.

Dr. Crosby shares why investing is an act of optimism, why income matters more than coupon clipping, and how our spending reveals truths about who we really are — even when we don’t realize it..

Key Takeaways

 
Money is a mirror. The way you earn and spend reflects your real values, not just your stated ones. Tracking your money reveals gaps between who you say you are and how you actually live.

 
Income drives wealth. Frugality matters, but once the basics are handled, your long-term financial future is determined more by growing your income than by cutting costs.

 
Short-term comfort is costly. The biggest threat to your wealth isn’t the market — it’s the temptation to prioritize momentary relief (panic-selling, stress spending) over your long-term goals.

Resources & Links

 
Dr. Daniel Crosby on LinkedIn

 
Standard Deviations Podcast

 
Books by Dr. Crosby:

 
The Soul of Wealth

 
The Laws of Wealth

 
The Behavioral Investor

 
Personal Benchmark

Closing

This episode reminds us that building wealth isn’t just about math — it’s about mindset. The markets may fluctuate, but the greatest risks and rewards often lie within our own psychology.

If you enjoyed this conversation, share it with a friend, subscribe to our newsletter at affordanything.com/newsletter, and connect with our community at affordanything.com/community.

You can afford anything, but not everything. Choose wisely.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(03:24) Does money really buy happiness? Rethinking the $75k income myth.

(08:48) Our conflicted relationship with money: Love, resentment, and the paradox of wealth.

(10:32) Childhood money scripts: How early beliefs still drive adult financial behavior.

(16:10) Personality traits & money outcomes: Why agreeableness and neuroticism matter.

(24:15) Investing as an act of optimism: Human progress, markets, and long-term growth.

(30:39) AI, work, and the future of wealth: Why EQ may outpace IQ in tomorrow’s economy.

(39:46) Habits vs. willpower: Why automation and environment beat discipline.

(44:28) Frictionless spending: How Apple Pay and subscriptions fuel overspending.

(47:32) Offense vs. defense in wealth: Why income matters more than extreme frugality.

(1:03:16) Chronic vs. episodic mistakes: Small leaks, lost compounding, and long-term damage.

(1:06:24) The pre-mortem exercise: A Stoic-inspired tool to prevent financial failure.

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, your veterinarian: https://affordanything.com/episode644
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The Hidden Psychology Behind Every Financial Decision You Make with Dr. Daniel Crosby

#643: Picture this: you're at the Federal Reserve years ago. The chairman literally hangs up a conference call, waits 30 minutes, then calls back — suddenly everyone agrees on the rate decision. 

That's the kind of insider story Karsten Jeske (“Big ERN”) shares when he joins us to break down what's happening with the economy right now.

Karsten worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta for eight years, then spent a decade on Wall Street at Bank of New York Mellon. 

Today he runs the popular Early Retirement Now website, where he applies his economist background to help people understand money and markets.

You'll hear Karsten explain why the Fed is about to start cutting interest rates. The futures markets are pricing in a 90 percent chance of a quarter-point cut, with more cuts likely through the end of the year. 

But why? After all, inflation just ticked up in the latest CPI report, yet the Fed is still planning to lower rates.

We dive into how this affects real people. If you're thinking about buying or selling a house, Karsten suggests acting sooner rather than later. 

He explains the "buy the rumor, sell the news" principle – the bond market may have already priced in the good news about rate cuts, so waiting might not help you.

The conversation covers some surprising economics too. Did you know that high interest rates can actually cause housing inflation? 

When mortgage rates are expensive, fewer people build new homes, which drives up prices. It's the opposite of what most people think happens.

Karsten walks through the recent jobs report revisions that caught everyone off guard. The government had to subtract nearly a million jobs from their previous estimates. He explains how this happens – it's not that officials are making up numbers, but tracking new businesses is genuinely hard to do in real time.

You'll also learn about two Fed tools most people haven't heard of: the dot plot and R-star. The dot plot shows where Fed officials think interest rates should go over time. R-star represents the theoretical perfect interest rate when the economy has no problems — currently around 3 percent.

The interview wraps up with Carsten's take on Fed culture. The consensus-building era under Greenspan is giving way to more dissenting votes, which actually makes the central bank more like it was decades ago under Paul Volcker.

Enjoy!

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(1:04) Carsten’s career path from Fed to Wall Street

(1:57) Current economic growth limbo state

(4:04) GDP formula and tariff impacts

(5:10) Trade efficiency and comparative advantage

(6:04) Supply chain threats from protectionism

(8:20) Fed meeting and rate cut expectations

(9:35) Market pricing in multiple rate cuts

(12:19) Real estate timing and mortgage rates

(13:55) How Fed rates affect treasury yields

(18:50) Buy the rumor, sell the news strategy

(22:13) Fed transparency and decision telegraphing

(25:56) Fed consensus culture versus dissent

(30:48) CPI data shows inflation ticking up

(34:32) Transitory versus persistent inflation confusion

(38:56) Fed behind the curve on rate cuts

(40:00) Major jobs report revisions explained

(44:24) Methodological issues with new business tracking

(46:00) Dot plot and R-star concepts explained

(52:29) Bond allocation strategies by age

(57:25) Current bond yields look attractive

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LIVESTREAM: A Former Fed Economist Reveals What's Really Happening, with Karsten Jeske (“Big ERN”)

EXCLUSIVE: Is your money safe in today’s economy? In this bonus interview, Paula Pant sits down with financial expert Rob Berger to unpack the latest on inflation, interest rates, market valuations, and the future of Social Security.

Together, Paula and Rob dive into the tough questions:

 Is the American Dream dead for Gen Z?

 Will there be another market crash?

 How should you invest when stocks feel overpriced?

 Can you still retire comfortably if Social Security gets cut?

Rob also shares his insights on asset allocation, diversification, and long-term investing strategies — advice that matters whether you’re in your 20s saving for a first home or in your 60s planning for retirement.

Don’t miss this conversation between Paula Pant and Rob Berger — a deep dive into money, markets, and the decisions that shape your financial future.

Timestamps:

(04:19) CPI Numbers, Mortgage Rates, and Market Outlook 

(05:05) Inflation, Jobs & the Fed’s Dilemma 

(05:46) Stagflation Concerns 

(06:38) Interest Rate Predictions 

(07:29) Stock Market Valuations & The Magnificent Seven 

(09:46) Diversification & Index Fund Concerns 

(10:53) Rules of Thumb for Asset Allocation 

(12:07) Bonds: TIPS vs. Nominal Treasuries 

(13:04) The Future of Social Security 

(14:41) Retirement Planning for Ages 55–60 

(16:59) Should You Invest More Aggressively Near Retirement? 

(18:52) Gen Z, Millennials & the American Dream 

(21:08) Action Plan for a 25-Year-Old Buyer 

(22:45) Predictions for 2026 (and Why Predictions Fail) 

(25:12) Closing Thoughts & Where to Find Rob Berger

Resources mentioned:

The Rob Berger Show on YouTube

Free Asset Location Cheat-Sheet

For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/robbergerhttps://affordanything.com/robberger
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BONUS: Stagflation, Stocks & Social Security - What’s Next for Your Money? with Rob Berger

#642: Curious about how individual stock picking could sharpen your investing skills—even if you’re an avid index fund investor? 

Paula sits down with David Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool and author of Rule Breaker Investing, to delve into the world of contrarian stock strategies and the mindset behind picking standout companies.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic 
advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may 
be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(0:00) Sports team investing analogy

(4:20) Individual stocks vs index funds

(7:12) Values-based investing approach

(13:16) Starbucks pick criteria

(13:28) Six rule breaker traits

(20:41) Why overvalued works

(26:44) Market timing philosophy

(32:20) Traditional metrics miss key factors

(39:18) When to sell stocks

(45:26) Winners vs losers math

(48:32) Portfolio allocation rules

(55:10) Sleep number concept

(1:00:00) Adding to winners strategy

(1:05:16) Evaluating unfamiliar companies

(1:09:15) Dot-com bubble lessons

(1:16:24) AI investing parallels

(1:20:18) Sports betting critique

Resource:

David Gardner's book: Rule Breaker Investing: How to Pick the Best Stocks of the Future and Build Lasting Wealth

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The Case for Investing in Individual Stocks, with Co-Founder of the Motley Fool, David Gardner

#641: Cristina has a $1.2 million portfolio and hopes to make work optional within the next decade. Is she invested in the right way? Or should she change up her asset allocation?

Anonymous and her husband plan to retire in 5 years. They have 10 rental properties and a $2.75 million portfolio. They dream of slow travel, generosity, and family time. How should they structure their assets to support the lifestyle they want?

Paula (the caller) and her husband are planning for three kids, private school, and possibly college down the road. Should they front-load a 529 plan with a large lump sum, or take a different approach?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

P.S. Got a question? Leave it here.

Resources mentioned in the show:

Interview with Frank Vasquez

Risk Parity Cheat Sheet

Caller Christina's original call on https://affordanything.com/episode463

Afford Anything Episode 618 https://affordanything.com/episode618

Risk Parity Portfolio Blueprint https://affordanything.com/riskparity

Joe's episode SB 1698 https://www.stackingbenjamins.com/create-your-retirement-spending-plan-1698/

Run The Line half marathon with Joe: https://runsignup.com/Race/TX/Texarkana/RuntheLineHalfMarathonTXAR

SavingForCollege.com

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(01:42) Christina

(16:42) Anonymous

(33:40) Paula the Caller
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Q&A: ChatGPT Built Her $1.2M Portfolio … But Should You Trust It?

#429: Have you ever thought about remodeling a kitchen? Retrofitting a camper van for #vanlife? Converting your basement into an Airbnb? Building a custom website? Recording an album?
Did you worry that this project will cost more and take longer than you expected? 
This episode is all about how to complete projects on-time and under budget. 
Today's guest, Dr. Bent Flyvberg, is an Oxford University professor with a Ph.D. in urban geography. He’s published more than 200 scholarly articles on megaproject planning and management, decision-making, and social science methodology. He’s written or edited 10 books, including recently co-authoring “How Big Things Get Done.”
He shares examples ranging from the Sydney Opera House to Pixar movies to the California High Speed Rail, illustrating why some projects flourished while others flopped.
He joins us on today’s episode and talks to us about why some projects succeed while others turn into colossal disasters. He offers tips for how we can apply lessons from megaprojects to our own lives.
Enjoy!
Timing of discussion points as of February 2023:
02:19: Why are some projects on time and under budget and others aren’t?
03:24: The difference between successful and unsuccessful projects
07:38: Which questions do you ask when you’re choosing someone to work with on the project?
11:44: How cognitive biases and power dynamics and influence project outcomes
24:22: Why people forsake common sense when it comes to big projects
29:34: How to plan and iterate, knowing that things will change
39:26: The biggest risk to projects

For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode429
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How BIG Things Get Done, with Dr. Bent Flyvberg

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