Cliodynamics and the Secular Cycles of History

Cliodynamics and the Secular Cycles of History

0 Umsagnir
0
Episode
106 of 171
Lengd
1Klst. 20Mín.
Tungumál
enska
Gerð
Flokkur
Óskáldað efni

Does history really repeat? If so, how, and why? We discussed the "fourth turning" on a previous episode of MindMatters. According to Strauss and Howe, the United States has entered a time of crisis which could see societal collapse, revolution, or war. However, their theory has its problems. While suggestive on the descriptive level, it has not been scientifically supported. Enter Peter Turchin.

Today we continue our discussion of historical cycles by looking at cliodynamics, a field of study pioneered by Turchin. Turchin's work gives scientific support to the idea that cycles are an essential feature of civilization. Empires rise and fall. Periods of stagnation and crisis end in war, revolution, and collapse. These trends, and the factors that determine them, can be measured and modeled. And all the indicators show that the U.S. has indeed entered a time of crisis, along with Europe - on par with the conditions that led to the American Civil War.

Today on MindMatters we discuss the outlines of Turchin's work, how it applies to American history, and what it might mean for the future.


Hlustaðu og lestu

Stígðu inn í heim af óteljandi sögum

  • Lestu og hlustaðu eins mikið og þú vilt
  • Þúsundir titla
  • Getur sagt upp hvenær sem er
  • Engin skuldbinding
Prófa frítt
is Device Banner Block 894x1036
Cover for Cliodynamics and the Secular Cycles of History

Other podcasts you might like ...