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Stígðu inn í heim af óteljandi sögum

Hlustaðu og lestu

Todd T. De Voe

This podcast features strategies and advice from today’s leaders and experts in emergency management. Its purpose is to empower and enrich current and future leaders. 

emnetwork.substack.com

The Emergency Management Network Podcast

The principal focus of this briefing is the ongoing river flooding affecting Washington’s Skokamish River, which has escalated to moderate flooding, resulting in significant impacts on local infrastructure. I, Cedric, present this EM Morning Brief for Friday, November 7, 2025, in which I will outline various critical weather advisories and hazardous conditions across multiple states. High winds are currently impacting travel along Wyoming’s I-80 and parts of Montana, while winter weather advisories persist in both Alaska and Southwest Montana. Additionally, the coastal regions of California are under advisories for high surf and coastal flooding, posing risks to small craft and recreational activities. This report aims to provide essential updates for emergency management and public safety in the face of these diverse weather challenges.

Takeaways:

* The current weather conditions indicate severe river flooding along Washington’s Skokamish River, necessitating awareness. 

* High winds are impacting travel and safety across Wyoming’s I-80 and adjacent regions in Montana. 

* Winter weather advisories are in effect for multiple regions, including Alaska and parts of the Pacific Northwest. 

* Small craft advisories have been issued along California’s coastal areas due to hazardous surf conditions. 

* The U.S. Geological Survey reports routine seismic activity across the United States, indicating stable conditions. 

* FEMA has updated disaster recovery information for Hurricane-affected areas, providing essential resources for survivors. 

Links referenced in this episode:

* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)

Companies mentioned in this episode:

* FloodMap (Sponsor, EMN)

* FEMA 

Sources

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-0.35156%2C173.84766&extent=67.64268%2C325.72266&magnitude=all&timeZone=utc]

[NWS Anchorage Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=winter+weather+advisory]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Coastal/Surf Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lox&wwa=all]

[NWS Denver/Boulder HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=bou&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook]

[NWS Mount Holly CWF/Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI]

[NWS Baltimore/Washington Freeze/Frost | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=phi&wwa=all]

[NWS Great Falls Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=tfx&wwa=winter+weather+advisory]

[NWS (West Glacier) High Wind Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.600584&lon=-113.722616]

[NWS Mount Holly Marine Forecast | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PHI&product=CWF&site=PHI]

[NWS New York (NY Harbor) SCA | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz338&syn=anz300]

[NWS Portland Marine AFD/Warnings | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=PQR&product=AFD&site=pqr]

[FEMA DR-4798 (Updated Nov 7) | https://www.fema.gov/disaster/4798]

[NWS Seattle Flood Warning | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+warning]

[NWS Cheyenne High Wind Warning | https://www.weather.gov/cys/highwind]

[NWS Point Forecast (Granite Canon WY) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=CYS&map.x=186&map.y=230]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Flooding and Winds: A Comprehensive Weather Brief

The salient point of our discussion today revolves around the significant weather events currently impacting various regions across the United States. We commence with the early season influences from the Pacific, which have resulted in heavy rainfall and mountain snow in the Northwest and Northern California, alongside coastal hazards affecting Oregon and the Bay Area. Furthermore, the Northeast is experiencing the aftermath of a strong cold front, characterized by brisk winds that have led to scattered outages and downed limbs in Connecticut. Additionally, Alaska’s marine zones are grappling with severe freezing conditions and gale warnings, while Hawaii is under a high surf advisory, posing risks to coastal activities. We conclude with an overview of the broader weather landscape, noting the absence of active cyclones in the tropics, thus providing a comprehensive summary of the current meteorological challenges.

Takeaways:

* The Pacific Northwest is experiencing early season impacts, including heavy rain and mountain snow.

* Connecticut has reported scattered outages and downed limbs following overnight wind bursts.

* A high surf advisory is in effect for Hawaii, affecting north and east facing shores.

* Coastal hazards and minor flooding are anticipated around the Bay Area during high tide periods.

* Strong winds and hazardous marine conditions are expected in Long Island Sound this morning.

* Minor flooding is possible in Oregon due to ongoing coastal flood warnings and high surf advisories.

Sources

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php]

[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc]

[NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]

[NWS Anchorage | https://www.weather.gov/afc]

[NWS “Heavy Freezing Spray Warning” summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=Heavy+Freezing+Spray+Warning]

[NWS San Francisco/Monterey | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Sacramento | https://www.weather.gov/sto/]

[CTInsider | https://www.ctinsider.com/weather/article/ct-road-closures-thursday-storm-damage-21142460.php]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[NWS Honolulu Watches/Warnings | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/watchwarn]

[NWS Honolulu Surf Forecast | https://www.weather.gov/hfo/SRF]

[NWS Boston Weather Story | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[Boston 25 News advisory roundup | https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/weather-alert-high-wind-warnings-watches-posted-mass-gusts-up-60-mph/3K2HHB44KBA7HDIREZHE47LVNY/]

[NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/]

[NWS New York, NY | https://www.weather.gov/okx/]

[PIX11 via Yahoo — wind impacts roundup | https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/strong-damaging-winds-cause-chaos-111326054.html]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Medford (hazards & high surf) | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SEW&product=AFD&site=SEW]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Alaska Faces Severe Weather: Freezing Spray and Gale Warnings

The prevailing meteorological conditions today warrant significant attention, as a formidable Pacific atmospheric river continues to inundate the Northwestern region of the United States. With the advent of heavy precipitation, coupled with mountain snow and elevated surf conditions, we must remain vigilant regarding the potential for localized flooding and hazardous weather. The National Weather Service has issued flash flood risks, particularly along the northern California and southwestern Oregon coastlines, extending through Thursday morning. Moreover, high wind warnings are in effect, suggesting that residents should prepare for potential power outages and hazardous conditions. As we navigate through these tumultuous weather patterns, I urge all listeners to remain informed and take necessary precautions for their safety.

Takeaways:

* The Northwest is currently experiencing a significant atmospheric river, resulting in heavy precipitation and hazardous conditions.

* Coastal areas in Northern California and Southwest Oregon face a marginal risk of flash flooding through Thursday morning.

* High wind warnings and marine gale headlines are issued across multiple states, indicating dangerous weather conditions.

* Preparedness for power outages and tree damage is advised due to anticipated adverse weather impacts this evening.

* Severe weather warnings extend into New England, with expected wind gusts reaching up to 65 mph overnight.

* Winter weather advisories are in effect for mountainous regions in Montana, signaling potential snow and reduced visibility.

Sources

[WPC | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Boston | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Gray (ME) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes (Past Day) | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?baseLayer=terrain&format=dyfi&listOnlyShown=true&range=search&search=%7B%22starttime%22%3A%22-1+day%22%2C%22producttype%22%3A%22dyfi%22%2C%22orderby%22%3A%22time%22%7D]

[NOAA Marine FZAK52 | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZAK52.PAFC.html]

[NWS Eureka hazards & ZFP | https://www.weather.gov/eka/]

[Cal OES pre-deployment update, Nov 4 | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-pre-deploys-emergency-resources-ahead-of-significant-storm-impacts-in-northern-california/]

[NWS Gray (GYX) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Caribou (CAR) | https://www.weather.gov/car/]

[NWS Boston/Norton main page | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Boston “Weather Story” | https://www.weather.gov/box/weatherstory]

[NWS Detroit/Pontiac — USCG Sector Detroit marine dashboard

| https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit]

[NWS Billings WWA | https://www.weather.gov/byz/]

[NWS Great Falls | https://www.weather.gov/tfx/]

[NWS Gray (covers NH) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Albany | https://www.weather.gov/aly/]

[NWS Marine — South of Long Island ANZ815 | https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=anz815&syn=anz898]

[NWS Cleveland Quick Brief/Advisories | https://www.weather.gov/cle/quick_brief]

[NWS Cleveland Marine | https://www.weather.gov/cle/marine_forecast]

[NWS Medford hazards | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/]

[Medford High Surf/Coastal Flood text | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?product1=Coastal+Flood+Watch&warnzone=ORZ021&lat=43.6598&lon=-124.1928]

[NWS Burlington | https://www.weather.gov/btv/]

[NWS Seattle hazards | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Flood Watch text (Mason Co.) | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=flood+watch]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Understanding the Marginal Flash Flood Risk in Northern California and Oregon

The primary focus of today’s discussion revolves around the absence of cyclonic activity in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific regions, as reported by the National Hurricane Center. The forecast indicates a period devoid of significant weather developments over the ensuing week, thereby suggesting limited severe weather potential. We also delve into the implications of a robust Pacific weather pattern, which is expected to generate marine gales and coastal hazards along the coasts of Washington and Oregon, while issuing wind advisories and coastal flood warnings for the San Francisco Bay area. Additionally, we address elevated fire weather concerns in the High Plains, particularly in western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota, where critical fire conditions are forecasted. In conclusion, we provide an overview of the current weather advisories across various states, emphasizing the importance of remaining vigilant amidst these conditions.

Takeaways:

* The National Hurricane Center currently reports no cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific regions.

* Severe weather potential remains limited today, with only routine thunder chances noted out west.

* A magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded south of Kotzebue, Alaska, prompting automatic aftershock monitoring.

* California is under a Wind Advisory and a multi-day Coastal Flood advisory for the San Francisco Bay area.

* Critical fire weather warnings are in effect for parts of western Nebraska and southwest South Dakota today.

* Gale warnings are issued for Washington coastal waters due to high winds and significant seas.

Sources

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[NHC EPac | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/041124_MIATWOEP.shtml]

[SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS SF Bay Zone Hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ508]

[NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[USGS Event | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/ak025e5h93e7]

[NWS SF MapClick (San Francisco) | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=37.7771&lon=-122.4196]

[NWS Bay Area WFO | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS Alberton MT MapClick | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?textField1=47.09982&textField2=-114.42633]

[NWS Montana statewide hazards | https://www.weather.gov/byz/montana_statewide_information]

[NWS Red Flag Summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=usa&wwa=red+flag+warning]

[NWS North Platte AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LBF&product=AFD&site=LBF&format=ci&version=1]

[NWS Portland WFO | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Portland WWA summary | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=all]

[NWS Rapid City — Red Flag Warning | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=unr&wwa=all]

[NWS Burlington HWO | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=btv&wwa=hazardous+weather+outlook]

[NWS Seattle WFO | https://www.weather.gov/sew/], [KSEW Marine Gale Warning text | https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sew&wwa=all]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Critical Fire Weather Alerts: Nebraska and South Dakota

Episode Summary

In this thought-provoking episode, Todd DeVoe and Dan Scott explore “The Myth of Control”—a concept that challenges one of the most fundamental assumptions in emergency management: that we can control chaos. Drawing from philosophy, leadership theory, and real-world emergency operations, they unpack how the illusion of control shapes decisions, policies, and leadership under pressure.

The hosts discuss the paradox that while control provides comfort and structure, it can also lead to rigidity and tunnel vision during crises. They explore the balance between preparedness and adaptability, and how embracing uncertainty can make leaders—and organizations—more resilient.

Listeners will leave with a deeper understanding of why humility, trust, and systems thinking are essential for navigating disasters' unpredictable nature.

Key Talking Points

* What “control” means in emergency management and why it’s an illusion.

* The difference between command and influence in crisis leadership.

* Stoic and philosophical insights on accepting uncertainty and focusing on what can be controlled.

* How overconfidence and bureaucratic rigidity undermine effective response.

* Real-world examples where flexibility outperformed strict adherence to plans.

* Building cultures that prioritize adaptability, learning, and empowerment over control.

* Emotional intelligence, trust, and psychological safety are essential in EOC leadership.

* Practical strategies for letting go—trusting your team, systems, and training.

Quotes to Remember

“Control is the myth we tell ourselves to feel safe in the storm.” – Todd DeVoe

“In crisis leadership, it’s not about controlling every variable—it’s about influencing outcomes through people.” – Dan Scott

About the Hosts

Todd DeVoe, CEM, is the Editor-in-Chief of the Emergency Management Network and the Emergency Management Coordinator for the City of Inglewood.

Dan Scott, CEM, is a regional emergency management leader and co-host of the EMN Podcast, bringing decades of operational experience and mentorship to the discussion.

Listen & Subscribe

Available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever you get your podcasts.Subscribe to the Emergency Management Network Newsletter for leadership insights, policy analysis, and community resilience stories.

 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

The Myth of Control

The salient point of today’s discussion pertains to the impending adverse weather conditions across various states as a fast-moving cold front approaches the Northeast. We elucidate the potential ramifications of this meteorological phenomenon, including gusty winds and scattered showers, which are anticipated to affect numerous regions. Furthermore, we highlight the marine gales and the resultant hazardous surf conditions on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine, as well as the marginal flood risks in western Washington and northwest Oregon. Our analysis extends to specific states, detailing the surf hazards in California and the gale conditions prevalent in Michigan and Ohio. As we conclude, we emphasize the importance of remaining vigilant and informed as these weather patterns develop.

Takeaways:

* A fast-moving cold front is expected to sweep through the Northeast today, bringing gusty winds and scattered showers.

* Marine gales and rough surf conditions are anticipated on the Great Lakes and Gulf of Maine due to the approaching weather system.

* A marginal flood risk persists over parts of western Washington and northwest Oregon as a wet Pacific pattern commences.

* Residents of Mason County should prepare for potential river rises later in the week, particularly on the Skokomish River.

* In California, hazardous surf conditions are anticipated as a strengthening Pacific system begins to affect the Bay Area today.

* Marine hazards are prevalent across multiple states, including gale conditions and significant wave heights on regional lakes.

Sources

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/]

[USGS Earthquake Feeds | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/feed/]

[NWS Bay Area hazard page | https://www.weather.gov/mtr/]

[NWS AFDMTR 4:05 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&product=AFD&issuedby=MTR]

[NDBC Marine Forecast KMTR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KMTR.html]

[SFGATE forecast update, published today | https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/bay-area-widespread-rain-thunder-wind-weather-21134293.php]

[NWS Gray ME hazards | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Boston/BOX marine hazards page | https://www.weather.gov/box/marine]

[NWS Detroit AFD 4:46 AM EST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=DTX&product=AFD&issuedby=DTX]

[USCG/NWS Sector Detroit marine dashboard (Lake Erie wave

heights/gale) | https://www.weather.gov/dtx/uscg_sectordetroit]

[NWS Cleveland Nearshore/LE Marine Forecast | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS61.KCLE.html]

[NWS Portland hazards | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Marine Forecast KPQR | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS56.KPQR.html]

[NWS Seattle Hydrologic Outlook 3:10 AM PST Nov 3 | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WAZ321&warncounty=WAC045&product1=Hydrologic+Outlook]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Anticipating Adverse Weather: Safety Measures and Precautions

Show Notes: EMN | IAEM Conference 2025 Preview with Duane Hagelgans

Episode Title:Inside IAEM 2025: Building the Future of Emergency Management

Host: Dan Scott, CEMGuest: Duane Hagelgans, IAEM Conference ChairDuration: ~45 minutes

Summary:In this special episode of The Emergency Management Network Podcast, host Dan Scott, CEM, sits down with Duane Hagelgans, the IAEM 2025 Conference Committee Chair, to discuss what attendees can expect from this year’s event in Savannah, Georgia.

They dive into the conference theme, the new structure of sessions and networking opportunities, and how IAEM continues to evolve to meet the needs of today’s emergency management professionals. From leadership and professional development to innovative technologies and community resilience, this conversation looks behind the curtain at how the conference is designed to educate, connect, and inspire.

Listeners will also hear insights into how IAEM is modernizing its events — from interactive learning formats to a new approach to the annual awards and banquet — all aimed at creating a more engaging, inclusive, and forward-thinking experience for the EM community.

Key Topics Covered:

* The vision and goals behind the IAEM Conference 2025

* New features, themes, and structure for this year’s program

* Why Louisville, KY, was chosen as the host city, and what attendees can look forward to

* IAEM’s focus on professional development and certification (CEM/AEM)

* How conference planning incorporates feedback from members and regions

* The evolution of the IAEM community — from networking to mentorship

* Duane’s perspective on the future of emergency management and leadership in the field

Quotable Moment:

“This conference isn’t just about presentations — it’s about creating a space where ideas connect, collaboration thrives, and the profession continues to grow stronger.” — Duane Hagelgans

Connect:

* Follow IAEM: https://www.iaem.org

* Learn more about the IAEM 2025 Conference: https://www.iaem.org/Conference

Subscribe to The Emergency Management Network on all podcast platforms

 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Inside IAEM 2025: Building the Future of Emergency Management

The primary focus of today’s briefing is the significant and ongoing impact of a substantial fall storm across the Northeast, resulting in localized roadway and coastal flooding. As we navigate through the details of this weather event, it becomes evident that gradual improvement is anticipated later in the day. Furthermore, we must acknowledge the impending arrival of the first in a series of Pacific atmospheric rivers that is expected to affect Washington and Oregon, bringing with it rising rivers and hazardous surf conditions. Additional warnings are in effect for various coastal regions, including gale warnings and high surf advisories, as Hurricane Melissa remains situated offshore while indirectly contributing to dangerous conditions along the U.S. East Coast. It is imperative that we remain vigilant and heed advisories throughout this tumultuous weather period.

On this day, the weather across the United States exhibits a multitude of phenomena, particularly a severe fall storm that is notably impacting the Northeast region. The storm has engendered localized roadway flooding and minor coastal flooding, although it is anticipated that conditions will gradually improve throughout the day. In the western territories, a significant atmospheric river is set to arrive, impacting Washington and Oregon, bringing with it rising river levels, substantial snowfall in higher elevations, and hazardous surf conditions that could endanger coastal and marine activities. Furthermore, Hurricane Melissa, while currently positioned offshore, is generating long-period swells that will reach parts of the East Coast, creating hazardous surf and rip currents that could pose threats to public safety.

As we assess the specific regional forecasts, it is evident that Southern California beaches face considerable dangers due to hazardous surf and strong rip currents, as indicated by advisories from the Los Angeles Oxnard Forecast Office. The National Weather Service (NWS) Gray has also issued gale and storm warnings for the coastal waters of Maine and New Hampshire, where strong winds and rough seas are anticipated. Massachusetts continues to experience marine hazards, while New Jersey is under a coastal flood advisory, highlighting the potential for minor inundation around high tide. The New York City Metro area and the Lower Hudson Valley are similarly under wind advisories, indicating the likelihood of gusts that could cause damage and complicate travel. In Oregon, a dual concern arises with hazardous marine conditions and a strengthening atmospheric river, prompting advisories regarding high surf and potential sneaker waves. Washington is also preparing for heavy rainfall and rising stream flows as the atmospheric river makes its approach.

In conclusion, while significant weather events shape the forecasts for various regions, it is noteworthy that other states report no substantial updates. The potential for severe thunderstorms is deemed low across the nation, and the SPC’s Day 1 outlook indicates no organized risk areas. As we finalize this weather briefing, we emphasize the importance of safety and vigilance among our listeners, especially those in areas under advisories. Staying informed through local forecasts is essential to ensure preparedness in the face of these weather challenges.

Takeaways:

* The podcast discusses the ongoing soaking fall storm affecting the Northeast, which may cause localized flooding.

* In the western United States, a series of Pacific atmospheric rivers is expected to arrive imminently, impacting Washington and Oregon.

* Warnings have been issued for dangerous surf conditions along the U.S. East Coast due to long period swells from Hurricane Melissa.

* Coastal regions in Southern California are advised to be cautious of hazardous surf and strong rip currents this weekend.

* Gale warnings and storm advisories are in effect on various coastal waters as the low-pressure system moves northward.

* There are currently no significant severe thunderstorm risks reported nationwide, indicating a relatively calm weather pattern elsewhere.

Sources

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine]

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/]

[SPC | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=JKL&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&format=TXT&version=1]

[USGS | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]

[NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard | https://www.weather.gov/lox/]

[NWS Gray/Portland | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS Boston/Norton | https://www.weather.gov/box/]

[NWS Mount Holly | https://www.weather.gov/phi/dss_port]

[NWS Mount Holly | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine]

[NWS New York/Upton | https://www.weather.gov/okx/]

[NWS Medford | https://www.weather.gov/mfr/]

[NWS Portland | https://www.weather.gov/pqr/]

[NWS Seattle | https://www.weather.gov/sew/]

[NWS (national) | https://www.weather.gov/phi/marine]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Atmospheric Rivers and Rising Rivers: Weather Insights for the Pacific Northwest

Shownotes

The primary focus of today’s discussion revolves around the significant impacts of Hurricane Melissa as it navigates between the central Bahamas and Bermuda, specifically highlighting the consequential marine hazards and instances of minor coastal flooding along the Mid Atlantic and Northeast coastlines. We elucidate the various advisories issued by the National Weather Service, which indicate a marginal risk of severe weather, inclusive of damaging winds and the potential for isolated tornadoes. Additionally, we examine the coastal flood advisories that have been enacted across multiple states, notably affecting areas from Delaware to New York City, where localized road closures are anticipated during high tide. Furthermore, we provide insights into the expected wind and rain events in Maine, alongside the heightened water levels observed along the Chesapeake Bay and Tidal Potomac shorelines. Our aim is to keep our audience informed and prepared as we navigate these weather phenomena.

Takeaways:

* The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Hurricane Melissa as it approaches the northeastern coast.

* Coastal flooding and marine hazards are expected along parts of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast today.

* Advisories from the National Weather Service indicate high tides may cause localized road closures.

* Gusty winds and rain are anticipated in Maine as a strong low-pressure system moves in.

* Coastal flood warnings remain in effect for various regions, including parts of Maryland and New York City.

* Virginia continues to experience tidal flooding, particularly in the Chesapeake Bay area.

Sources

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php]

[SPC Day 1 | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS Baltimore/Washington coastal flooding | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]

[USGS Latest Earthquakes | https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS — New Castle DE advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php?inputstring=19730]

[NWS Gray AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&highlight=off&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&site=GYX&version=1]

[NWS Gray main page (hazards) | https://www.weather.gov/gyx/]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Anne Arundel) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ014&local_place1=Severn+MD&product1=Coastal+Flood+Advisory&warncounty=MDC003&warnzone=MDZ014]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (Calvert) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ018&lat=38.72&local_place1=2+Miles+WNW+North+Beach+MD&lon=-76.5658&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC009&warnzone=MDZ018]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NJZ006&local_place1=Jersey+City+NJ&product1=Heat+Advisory&warncounty=NJC017&warnzone=NJZ006]

[NYCEM Weather Alert (issued ~18 hours ago) | https://www.nyc.gov/site/em/about/press-releases/202510229_pr-NYCEM-Urges-NYers-to-prepare-For-Heavy-Rain.page]

[NWS New York — Coastal Flood Advisory | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NYZ212&lat=40.8031&local_place1=Harlem+NY&lon=-73.93&product1=Coastal+Flood+Statement&warncounty=NYC061&warnzone=NYZ072]

[NWS MHX Marine | https://www.weather.gov/mhx/marine]

[NWS Marine Forecast FZUS52 KMHX | https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/Forecasts/FZUS52.KMHX.html]

[NWS Mount Holly briefing | https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf]

[SPC Day 1 Outlook | https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html]

[NWS LWX — Coastal Flood Warning (St. Mary’s) | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=MDZ017&lat=38.1522&local_place1=Dameron+MD&lon=-76.3697&product1=Coastal+Flood+Warning&warncounty=MDC037&warnzone=MDZ017]

[NWS LWX — advisory summary | https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=coastal+flood+advisory]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Navigating the Coastal Challenges: A Brief on Hurricane Melissa

The salient point of this podcast episode revolves around the significant impact of Hurricane Melissa, which has made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 storm and is progressing northeastward towards the Bahamas. We meticulously delineate the potential hazards arising from this weather event, notably the elevated risk of rip currents and rough surf along the southeastern coast of the United States, particularly Florida. Additionally, the episode elaborates on various weather alerts, including a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, as well as a potential severe weather risk in eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia. We also address the imminent arrival of a moderate atmospheric river in the Pacific Northwest, which is expected to bring substantial rainfall. Furthermore, we discuss FEMA’s recent allocation of over $1 billion in federal funding to enhance safety measures in the host cities for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Hurricane Melissa has emerged as a formidable force, having made landfall in eastern Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, with its trajectory now directing it towards the Bahamas. Although the United States currently has no active watches, the ramifications of Hurricane Melissa are being felt along the southeastern coast, particularly in Florida, where the risk of rip currents and rough surf is markedly elevated. The National Weather Service has issued warnings to coastal residents and beachgoers to exercise caution due to these dangerous conditions, emphasizing the importance of heeding safety advisories during such severe weather events.

In addition to the impact of Hurricane Melissa, the Weather Prediction Center has highlighted a marginal flash flood risk across the Southern and Central Appalachians, extending into the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. This is attributed to the influx of rain that is expected to saturate these regions today. Concurrently, the Storm Prediction Center has indicated a marginal severe weather risk for eastern North Carolina and Southeast Virginia, suggesting the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms later in the evening. The confluence of these weather patterns necessitates vigilant monitoring and preparedness among local residents.

Furthermore, looking towards the Pacific Northwest, a moderate atmospheric river is anticipated to commence its influence on Friday and Saturday, with the Weather Prediction Center flagging a marginal flood risk for Western Washington. This is in alignment with forecasts from the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, which anticipates several days of precipitation associated with this atmospheric river event. As federal funding has also been allocated to support the infrastructure for the upcoming 2026 FIFA World Cup, the coordination between emergency management partners and local authorities has never been more crucial. Maintaining situational awareness and readiness is imperative as we navigate through this dynamic weather landscape.

Takeaways:

* Hurricane Melissa made landfall in Cuba and poses risks for Florida’s coast today, especially due to rip currents.

* A marginal flash flood risk has been issued for the Southern and Central Appalachians today, necessitating caution for residents in these regions.

* FEMA has announced over $1 billion in federal funding aimed at securing host cities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

* California is facing red flag warnings due to Santa Ana winds and low humidity, prompting pre-deployment of firefighting resources.

* The Pacific Northwest will experience a moderate atmospheric river, leading to potential flooding in Western Washington later this week.

* Several states, including Connecticut and New Jersey, are under marginal flood risks due to expected heavy rainfall in the upcoming days.

Source

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]

[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]

[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[CW3E AR Outlook (Oct 28) | https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/28Oct2025_Outlook/28Oct2025_Outlook.pdf]

[FEMA | https://www.fema.gov/print/txt/node/705701]

[NWS Los Angeles | https://www.weather.gov/lox/]

[NWS San Diego | https://www.weather.gov/sgx/]

[Cal OES | https://news.caloes.ca.gov/governor-newsom-predeploys-firefighting-resources-southern-california-ahead-of-dangerous-fire-weather/]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[NWS Key West | https://www.weather.gov/key/]

[NWS Jacksonville | https://www.weather.gov/jax/]

[NHC | https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+html/290851.html]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[NWS Wilmington | https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=34.2026&lon=-77.8815]

[NWS Topsail Beach hazards | https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?firewxzone=NCZ106&lat=34.3696&local_place1=Topsail+Beach+NC&lon=-77.6288&product1=Beach+Hazards+Statement&warncounty=NCC141&warnzone=NCZ106]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[WPC Day 2 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=2&opt=curr]

[NWS Charleston | https://www.weather.gov/chs/]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]

[SPC Day 1 | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=txt&glossary=1&issuedby=DY1&product=SWO&site=JKL&version=1]

[NWS Wakefield Briefing | https://www.weather.gov/akq/brief]

[WPC Day 3 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/index.shtml]

[NWS Seattle AFD | https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=sew&product=afd&site=nws&version=1]

[WPC Day 1 ERO | https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?day=1&opt=curr]
 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

FEMA's Response: Over $1 Billion for 2026 FIFA World Cup Preparedness

Intelligent risk is an opportunity where the potential gain outweighs the harm or loss to the organization's sustainability. Taking intelligent risks requires a tolerance for failure and an expectation that innovation is not achieved through initiating only successful endeavors. At the outset, organizations must invest in potential successes realizing that some will also lead to failure.

James is an advocate of intelligent risk-taking, driven by the belief that risk can be a powerful tool to help organizations reach their maximum potential. 

Todd DeVoe 
Twitter handle: https://twitter.com/ToddTDeVoe
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/toddtdevoe/
Substack: https://emnetwork.substack.com/
Website: https://toddtdevoe.com/ 

James Green
Twitter: https://twitter.com/thejamesgreen
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejamesgreen/
Website: https://www.illuminateadvisory.com/ 

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit emnetwork.substack.com/subscribe

Exploring Intelligent Risk

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