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Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Actionable insights on building wealth from the top experts in money & the markets

Hosted by Adam Taggart

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

When today's guest was last on this channel back in July, he warned that a 'triumvirate" of three massive asset price bubbles -- in credit, real estate and stocks -- threatened to take down our fragile economy and dash the retirement hopes for millions.Since then, the bubbles have only expanded.Will they expand further -- or pop -- in 2026?To find out, we have the great good fortune to welcome money manager Michael Pento back to the program.

BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#recession #marketcorrection #marketcrash _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Michael Pento: A Coming Credit Crisis Is The Most Likely Trigger For A Market Plunge

BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I’m delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Andy Schectman, James Grant, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Judy Shelton, Michael Every, David Hay, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Craig Wichner, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn’t attend, I thought you’d enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Spring 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/2026#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Here's The Latest Outlook From Lacy Hunt, Lyn Alden, James Grant + A Dozen Other Experts

Today's guest suggests that for much of the past three years, the economy & financial markets have been boosted by a "sugar high" cocktail including prodigous fiscal stimulus from the government, massive AI capex outlays from the private sector, a wave of incremental consumer spending from waves of millions of illegal immigrants.But now he warns the sugar high is behind us.If true, what will the repercussion be?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome to the program for the first time Edward Dowd, founder of macroeconomic consulting & research firm Phinance Technologies.PURCHASE THE REPLAY OF THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL CONFERENCE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference

#marketcorrection #recession #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Ed Dowd: USA Facing A 'Toxic Cocktail' of Trouble In Stocks, Credit, Trade & Housing

When market uncertainty is as high as it is now, I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers.Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the road ahead -- they have to commit capital to their convictions, and be judged upon the results.Today we have the great fortune of having the return appearance of one of the most respected capital allocators in the business: Jan van EckJan is CEO of vanEck, an asset management firm with over $100 billion in assets under management invested across its wide family of ETFs and funds, spanning equity, bond, commodity, digital and regional asset classes.As we've done the past several quarters now, Jan and I will spend the next hour discussing his Q4 macro and market outlooks, as well as where he sees the biggest opportunities for investors right now.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #ai #china _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Jan van Eck: Q4 Macro & Market Outlook

Well, this week certainly was not a dull one.It saw growing fears of credit contagion from "cockroach" corporations as the fallout from TriColor and First Brands now spreads to regional banks.The President whipsawed markets with a "yes, we are/no, we aren't" barrage of tweets on a trade war with China.Bitcoin and the crypto complex took their lumps, while the precious metals skyrocketed to all-time highs.Is the heightened uncertainty reason to sell? Or a buying opportunity?For everything that mattered to market this week, watch this Market Recap.

BUY THE REPLAY OF THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #creditspreads #debtdefault _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Get Out Or Buy The Dip? | Lance Roberts

Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns to discuss rising market volatility, record gold & silver prices, concerning failures in the private credit industry & other signs of rising systemic stress.She also takes live viewer Q&A#goldprice #creditspreads #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Gold & Silver Rally: Early Innings or Pullback Ahead?2:16 - Silver's Surge: Supply-Demand Imbalance Exposed2:45 - Gold to $22,000? Backing the Monetary Base3:24 - Bracing for Pullback: De-Risking Drags All Assets4:03 - Long-Term Bull: Hard Assets vs. Paper (S&P Ratio)5:12 - Jamie Dimon: Gold to $5K-$10K Endorsement5:54 - Adam's Caution: Nothing Moves in a Straight Line6:53 - Valuation Gap: Gold Up or S&P Down?7:12 - Stock Overvaluation: Waiting for Risk Unwind8:17 - Credit Bifurcation: Junk Yields Spike9:14 - Multi-Decade Shift: Commodities Over Paper11:45 - Hedging Gold: Fire Insurance Analogy13:06 - Prospect Theory: Losses Hurt Twice as Much14:27 - Stephanie's Stance: No Changes, Hedging Uncompelling19:15 - Resources: Hedging Help & Gold Primer22:53 - High-Yield Spreads: Market Starting to Care?23:36 - China Tariffs Trigger De-Risk: Junk Blows Out25:12 - Muted Reactions: Hooters & Red Lobster Bankruptcies29:50 - "We Don't Know How Bad": Private Credit Opacity30:40 - Bodies Floating: TriColor & First Brands Validate?35:07 - PE Proliferation: More Firms Than McDonald's40:14 - Systemic Risk: Trillions Maturing, Interest Doubled42:46 - Historical Busts: 2007 ABCP to Meltdown47:48 - AI Bubble Threat: Hype Drives S&P Fragility50:49 - Achilles Heel: 60-65% Burst Wipes US GDP55:52 - Allocations: Gold Held, Energy for AI Buildout57:01 - AI Endures: Needs Massive Power Infrastructure1:00:15 - Oil Under $60 Myth: Demand Surge Ignored1:01:01 - Tax Migration: Adam's Nevada Move1:01:53 - Stephanie's Florida Journey: NYC to Beaches1:10:05 - Follow Stephanie: Macromavens.com & Conference Tease_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Stephanie Pomboy: When The Next Shakeout Happens, Will You Be A Winner Or A Loser?

TO BUY SILVER & GOLD, contact Andy's firm at info@milesfranklin.comWith silver having just exploded above $50/oz, many of you have reached out to me asking about what’s driving the surge & if there’s still time to join the party.So I invited precious metals expert Andy Schectman on for a livestream this morning to discuss to all things silver.To listen to the replay of the livestream, click here or on the video below.FYI: if you’re looking to purchase bullion online, Thoughtful Money recommends Miles Franklin, co-founded, owned and operated by Andy. The firm has been in operation since 1989, and is a full-service precious metals broker with a mission to educate the masses on the benefits & principles of sound money and deliver fair pricing.Given the important of the partnership between Thoughtful Money and his firm, Andy himself has offered to give Thoughtful Money followers the “white glove” treatment. So if you’re interested in learning more about their services, email them directly at info@milesfranklin.com and Andy or one of his lieutenants will give you personal attention, answer all your questions and work to get you the products that best meets your needs at the best possible price.#silverprice #silver #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

SPECIAL REPORT: Silver Price Explodes Above $50/oz -- Is It Too Late To Buy In? | Andy Schectman

The housing market remains in an injured state, with transactions still frozen and an increasing number of states seeing falling prices.But...the Federal Reserve has resumed rate cuts and mortgage rates are lower than at the start of the year.So, will we start to see some healing in the housing market as we head into 2026?Or will things get worse from here?Today we have the good fortune to be joined by Nick Gerli, founder of reventure Consulting and creator of the excellent reventure app.Nick walks through his latest --- and increasingly pessimistic -- outlook on the US housing market and shares a number of charts with us.

TIME IS RUNING OUT! GET YOUR TICKET NOW FOR SATURDAY'S THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#homeprices #housingmarket #realestate 0:00 - High-Level Summary: Disinflationary Vortex2:07 - Growing Pessimism: Rental Market Downturn3:18 - Affordability Crisis in For-Sale & Rental Markets4:52 - Immigration's Impact on Rentals & Housing6:55 - Work Permit Applications Plummet8:26 - Single-Family Rent Growth Hits 14-Year Low9:41 - Disinflation Argument: Shelter's Role in CPI11:37 - Key Inflations for Housing: Rents & Wages Only13:36 - Wage Growth Moderating Post-Great Resignation15:00 - Home Prices vs. Income: Bubble Territory16:22 - Home Price Declines Spread to Half of U.S. States18:14 - Local Variations: Micro-Level Analysis19:48 - Examples: Crashes in Houston & Tampa Zip Codes21:24 - National Map: Contagion of Price Declines23:10 - Wealth Effect: Affluent Buyers vs. Broader Market25:42 - Average Home Buyer Age Now 5627:53 - Stock Market Correction's Potential Housing Impact31:26 - Inventory Drives Prices: State-by-State Breakdown35:32 - National Inventory Trends & 2026 Forecast37:18 - Mortgage Rate Distribution: Unlocking Supply40:36 - Lower Rates Could Boost Inventory, Not Prices42:39 - Homebuilders Cutting Prices to Move Inventory45:12 - New Homes Now Cheaper Than Existing Ones47:54 - Softening Labor Market Adds Downward Pressure50:53 - Buyer Demand at 30-Year Lows53:12 - Unemployment's Direct Link to Defaults55:22 - Forbearance Programs Distorting Foreclosures57:47 - Student Loan Repayments Fueling Delinquencies1:00:33 - Parting Advice: Buyers, Sellers & Investors1:02:55 - Where to Follow Nick Gerli & Reventure App1:04:12 - Conference Reminder & Financial Advice_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Housing Market Now Falling Into A Deflationary Vortex | Reventure Consulting's Nick Gerli

Portfolio manager Michael Lebowtiz looks back at the red-hot rise in stocks over the past two month and asks:Have stocks moved too far too fast?Can this continue without a pullback first?

YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#investing #marketcorrection #aibubble _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Has The Market Moved Too Far Too Fast? | Michael Lebowitz

Wall Street is partying hard right now with stocks at all-time highs.Unless a significant correction happens soon, the S&P will put in its third year of double-digit returns in a row.But pressures are building.The AI juggernaut, which is driving so much of the US economy and the market's rise these days, increasingly appears to be in bubble territory.While on the other hand, a large percentage of American consumers are increasingly struggling under the high cost of living.How will these pressures resolve in 2026?To discuss, we welcome back to the program macro analyst Jesse Felder, founder & Editor of the respected market research firm: The Felder Report.

YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#aibubble #commodities #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

A 'Very Precarious' Time For Markets: AI Bubble, Credit Risks & Insider Selling | Jesse Felder

Credit spreads are about the tightest they've ever been in history. High yield (aka "junk") debt is priced at very low premium to US Treasury debt, the safest asset in the world 

That says the bond market is just not worried about risk.

So either, "everything truly is awesome"...or the market is mis-pricing risk here, perhaps dangerously so.

Whether or not that's the case, it's highly unlikely those expecting a material downwards market correction will see one until credit spreads start widening. Which is why monitoring them closely is such a high priority.

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the importance of credit spreads, the new inflation & jobs data, bond yields, the latest technical analysis for stocks, as well as Lance's firm's recent trades.

For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

#creditspreads #inflation #interestrates

Has The Market Become Blind To Risk? | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart

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