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Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Actionable insights on building wealth from the top experts in money & the markets

Hosted by Adam Taggart

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Wall Street is partying hard right now with stocks at all-time highs.Unless a significant correction happens soon, the S&P will put in its third year of double-digit returns in a row.But pressures are building.The AI juggernaut, which is driving so much of the US economy and the market's rise these days, increasingly appears to be in bubble territory.While on the other hand, a large percentage of American consumers are increasingly struggling under the high cost of living.How will these pressures resolve in 2026?To discuss, we welcome back to the program macro analyst Jesse Felder, founder & Editor of the respected market research firm: The Felder Report.

YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#aibubble #commodities #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

A 'Very Precarious' Time For Markets: AI Bubble, Credit Risks & Insider Selling | Jesse Felder

The Debt-to-GDP ratio of the world's largest economies is rising at a frightening pace as reckless deficit spending has become the order of the day.This is increasingly pushing investors into asset classes that offer protection from the inflation/loss of fiat currency purchasing power that results.Meanwhile, the gargantuan buildout of processing power and electricity generation & transmission need for AI is unleashing a global era of "Mine, Baby, Mine".This, also, is enticing investors to own natural resources. Combined together, these two trends paint a very compelling picture of relentless demand for hard assets for the foreseeable future.So, how to take advantage of this trend?Jonathan Wellum, founder of Rocklinc Investment Partners, Thoughtful Money's endorsed Canadian financial advisor, shares how his firm is positioning.For the details, watch this video.

YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #oil #commodities _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Runaway Debt & Deficits + AI Buildout = HUGE Demand For Hard Assets | Jonathan Wellum

Citing a current macro landscape of lower economic growth, sticky inflation and rising unemployment, today's guest has recently declared we've entered a "stagflation lite" period.How long will it last?And how should investors position accordingly?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, back to the program today.

YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
#stagflation #artificialintelligence #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Get Ready For "Stagflation Lite" | Cameron Dawson

Much concern has been raised of late about how the economy is slowing and recession risk is rising.But is that really true?Or, could we already be through the worst of things, with the economy strengthening from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.In today's discussion, Anna explains why she has recently turned from being bearish (for years) to guardedly bullish.

TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #economicrecovery #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Bloomberg Economics' Chief US Economist Just Turned From Bearish To Bullish | Anna Wong

At this point, the stock market is being driven nearly entirely by sentiment and momentum.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the odds are good that will continue as the allure of S&P 7,000 entices investors to keep buying dips through the remainder of the year.He and I discuss the technical reasons for this, as well as the impact of the government shutdown, the latest disappointing ADP jobs report, bonds and Lance's firm's recent trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.
TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
#bullmarket #jobsreport #shutdown 

_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Can The Rally In Stocks Continue Into Year End? | Lance Roberts

While many analysts are worried about the weakening jobs market, today's guest thinks it might be exactly what's needed for the economy to get...better?Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist & managing director at Piper Sandler, is best known for his H.O.P.E. framework -- which predicts how recessions start and end.Michael sees the economy as potentially entering "goldilocks" conditions of rising growth, disinflation, lower interest rates and low oil prices.The weakening job market is disinflationary AND provides the incentive for the Fed to cut rates. That actually creates the kind of conditions that we normally see with economy recoveries.So, does that mean the market will continue rising?Watch this video to find out.

TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#recession #economicrecovery #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved

Could The Weakening Jobs Market Actually Be GOOD For The Economy? | Michael Kantrowitz

TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceDavid Hay delivers his macro & market outlook -- plus takes your live Q&A#bonds #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

A Tipping Point? US Treasurys Are No Longer The 'Reserve Asset Of Choice' | David Hay

Gold is up 40% this year.Silver's up almost 50%.And the mining stocks as a sector are up over 100%.Has the big money in precious metals now been made?Or is the party just getting started?For answers to all things gold, silver and the companies that mine them, we fortunate to speak with Brien Lundin, CEO of Jefferson Financial, publisher of GoldNewsleter.com and producer of the excellent New Orleans Investment Conference.

LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference
#goldprice #silverprice #preciousmetals_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Gold May Rally Up To $6,000-8,000/oz | Brien Lundin

Today's guest has long been warning that the US -- as well as many other countries -- is now in an era of fiscal dominance.That's when fiscal spending gets out of control, like a runaway train.It becomes so large that it becomes the primary determinant of economic growth and inflation -- steamrolling over any impact of monetary policy or private sector lending.At this time of this recording, the deficit for the 2025 US fiscal year is on track to be the 3rd largest in history, behind the COVID emergency spending years of 2020 and 2021.The key difference , of course, is this time we're not facing a global pandemic and economic lockdown. Yet the profligate deficit spending continues unabated.What impact is this having on the economy, asset prices, our currency's purchasing power, and social stability?For answers, we are very fortunate to welcome back to the program Lyn Alden, investment strategist & author of the book "Broken Money: Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better"

LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#deficit #money #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Our Addiction To Deficit Spending Is The Greatest Threat To Our Future Prosperity | Lyn Alden

The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further. Are we headed into recession?It's too early to tell.But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.This boosts the chance of a coming correction in the stock market.How big of one?Lance and I discuss in today's video, along with the latest inflation numbers, AI, signs of growing vulnerability in the credit system, central planner intervention and, always, Lance's firm's latest trades,For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.#recession #inflation #ai 0:00 - Slowdown Signals: Leading Indicators Suggest Economic Weakening4:44 - Economic Data: 3.8% Q2 GDP Driven by Trade, Spending Outpaces Income6:43 - Earnings Gap: Mag 7 Slows, Bottom 493 Flat, 11-15% Growth Questioned9:18 - AI’s Economic Impact: Reduces Jobs/Wages, Hurts Earnings Outlook10:00 - Leading Economic Index: Negative Turn Signals Slower Growth11:19 - 2022 Anomaly: Stimulus Masked Recession Signals, Now Normalizing13:57 - Yield Curve Uninversion: Signals Slower Growth, Recession Risk14:56 - Employment Trends: Full-Time Jobs Drop, Weakens Consumer Spending16:52 - Recession Context: 16-Year Gap, Policy Aversion to Downturns18:29 - Policy Response: All-Out Stimulus Likely for Even Mild Recession23:21 - Policy Addiction: QE, Zero Rates, Checks Expected at Job Losses26:20 - Inflation History: Pre-2000 Restraint vs. Post-Reagan Deficit Surge31:05 - Wealth Inequality: Top 10% Own ~80% Net Worth, Policy-Driven35:30 - Socialism vs. Capitalism: 46% Youth Favor Socialism Amid Inequality39:13 - Speculative Risks: Perpetual Options, Leveraged Bitcoin ETF Losses41:57 - AI Bubble: Nvidia-OpenAI Circular Financing Echoes Dot-Com Excesses47:53 - Entrepreneurship: Capital Access Easier, Opportunities for Scrappy Ideas57:12 - Precious Metals: Silver Melt-Up, Rebalanced to Manage Gains59:46 - Bitcoin Concerns: Leveraged ETFs Down 45%, Signals Risk-Off Move1:01:49 - Technical Analysis: Overbought High Beta, Declining Money Flows1:06:23 - Market Outlook: 5-10% Oct-Nov Correction, Buyable for Year-End Rally1:12:11 - Bond Bull Case: High Valuations, Low ERP Favor Bonds Over Stocks1:16:45 - Tricolor Bankruptcy: $1B Subprime Auto Loans Signal Credit Issues1:20:56 - PayPal’s Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Debt Sale Raises Red Flags1:24:13 - AI Spending Risks: $800B Shortfall, Winner-Take-All Dynamics_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Odds Of Stock Market Correction Grow As Economy Slows | Lance Roberts

Stocks have been choppy over recent weeks, as portfolio manager Lance Roberts predicted due to end-of-year rebalancing by the major Wall Street funds.

Once that wave is over, does a Santa Claus rally still look likely to occur?

Lance and I discuss the odds of this, as well as the recent inflation data, poor price action in bonds, market correction risk in 2025, and Lance's firm's latest trades.

For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

Is A Santa Claus Rally Into Year End Still Likely? | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart

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