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Hlustaðu og lestu

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

You can afford anything, but not everything. We make daily decisions about how to spend money, time, energy, focus and attention – and ultimately, our life.
How do we make smarter decisions? How do we think from first principles?
On the surface, Afford Anything seems like a podcast about money and investing.
But under the hood, this is a show about how to think critically, recognize our behavioral blind spots, and make smarter choices. We’re into the psychology of money, and we love metacognition: thinking about how to think.
In some episodes, we interview world-class experts: professors, researchers, scientists, authors. In other episodes, we answer your questions, talking through decision-making frameworks and mental models.
Want to learn more? Download our free book, Escape, at http://affordanything.com/escape. Hosted by Paula Pant.

Afford Anything

#672: Welcome to Greatest Hits Week — five days, five episodes from our vault, spelling out F-I-I-R-E.

Today's letter I stands for Increasing Your Income. This episode originally aired in August 2024, but the strategies are more essential than ever. 

Jeff Wetzler, Ed.D., reveals why the people around us withhold crucial information — and how asking better questions can transform your negotiations and net worth.

__________

You've mastered the art of asking for what you want — or have you?

Jeff Wetzler, Ed.D., a former education executive, joins us to reveal why most of us fail to extract crucial information from the people around us. 

Think about it: when was the last time someone told you what they really thought about your work? Or shared that game-changing idea they'd been sitting on? 

Wetzler discovered four categories of information people routinely withhold — and the cost runs deeper than you might expect.

We explore why people stay silent about their struggles, unpopular opinions, observations about us, and innovative ideas. 

The reasons range from fear to simple exhaustion, but one stands out: they don't think we want to know.

Here's a startling example from Harvard Business School research: investigators planted smudges on their faces and surveyed people. Less than three percent told them about the mark that they could wipe off in one second. But when asked later, 100 percent had noticed it. 

If people won't share something that simple, what else are they keeping from us?

Wetzler shares his Ask Approach — five steps that unlock hidden information in any negotiation or relationship. We walk through real scenarios, from salary negotiations to buying cars, showing how curiosity beats strategy every time.

One mechanic story drives this home. Facing a $2,000 air conditioning repair, Wetzler asked one question: "Do you have any other creative ideas?" The mechanic paused, then offered a $75 solution that worked perfectly. That five-second question saved $1,925.

We discuss practical listening techniques, including the "doorknob moment" — why therapists know the most important information comes at minute 49 of a 50-minute session. Wetzler explains why our minds process 900 words per minute while our mouths manage only 125, creating a massive information gap.

The conversation includes AI's surprising role in sharpening these skills, helping us frame conversations into content, emotion, and action. 

Wetzler demonstrates how technology can enhance rather than replace our uniquely human ability to connect and learn from each other.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(00:00) What's at stake in asking better questions

(02:33) Four categories of information people withhold

(06:33) The smudge experiment reveals our silence

(09:13) Why people don't tell us what they think

(12:53) The Ask Approach begins with curiosity

(14:48) Making it safe for truth-telling

(18:53) CEOs share how to get honest feedback

(22:13) Posing quality questions vs crummy questions

(30:58) Listening across three channels

(34:28) The doorknob moment phenomenon

(37:43) How to listen better in negotiations

(42:13) Reflect and reconnect strategies

(44:53) Applying the Ask Approach to car buying

(51:33) Working through a complete negotiation

(01:02:13) Using AI to sharpen your asking skills

(01:06:13) Why this approach is learnable
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

[I] The Hidden Information That's Costing You Money [GREATEST HITS]

#671: Welcome to Greatest Hits Week — five days, five episodes from our vault, spelling out F-I-I-R-E.

Today's letter F stands for Financial Psychology. And we're diving deep with a conversation that changed how thousands of our listeners think about money.

This episode originally aired in November 2022, but the insights feel more relevant than ever. Dr. Daniel Crosby reveals why your brain is your portfolio's worst enemy — and what you can do about it.

______

Money is the number one stressor in American lives. Every single year. Without exception.

That's what Dr. Daniel Crosby discovered when he looked at decades of research from the American Psychological Association.

In this rerun episode from our Greatest Hits Vault, Crosby joins us to reveal why your brain sabotages your investment decisions. He's both a clinical psychologist and behavioral finance expert. His findings will change how you think about money.

Your body hijacks your financial judgment in strange ways. For example:

People who need to pee become more risk-averse investors. It's called inhibitory spillover. When you're controlling your bladder, you also restrict your financial decisions.

Here's another one: judges give harsher sentences when they're hungry. Thousands of court decisions prove it. The best predictor of whether you get jail time? When the judge last ate.

We explore four behavioral risks that destroy wealth: ego, conservatism, attention, and emotion.

Crosby shares data that stock pickers rarely hear: 74 percent of individual stocks have a lifetime expected return of zero. Three out of four companies eventually go bankrupt. Yet people keep betting on single stocks, dreaming they'll find the next Apple.

Value investors suffer from depression and social isolation. Why? Because contrarian investing fights our deepest evolutionary wiring. Humans survived through cooperation. It's literally our only advantage over other animals. Bears have claws. Turtles have shells. We have teamwork.

Crosby shares the Ash experiment, which shows how peer pressure warps reality. When nine people give the wrong answer about line lengths, three-quarters of participants follow along. New brain scans reveal something darker: social pressure physically changes how people see the lines. Their perception actually shifts.

We discuss solutions through Crosby's "three E's": education, environment, and encouragement. Reading about biases won't fix them. You need systems and people.

One powerful study: people who saw their children's photo for five seconds before banking saved twice as much money.

The conversation reveals that money problems don't disappear with wealth. They just change form.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(00:00) Finance as America's top stressor

(02:33) Psychology moving from brokenness to wellness

(04:33) Money touches every part of life

(07:33) Income plateaus and happiness

(10:13) How hunger affects financial decisions

(13:38) We're wired wrong for investing

(17:28) Laziness and cognitive shortcuts

(23:43) Cooperation as human survival trait

(26:43) Four behavioral risks

(32:13) Ego and overconfidence

(37:48) Conservatism and familiarity bias

(46:38) Three E's of behavior change

(50:23) Attention risk and probability

(54:48) Emotion derails decisions

(58:28) When fear helps versus hurts

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[F] Why Your Brain Sabotages Your Money [GREATEST HITS]

#670: As we close out 2025, premium credit cards are more expensive and more complicated than ever. It’s fair to ask whether the points game is still worth the effort.

We sit down with Chris Hutchins, host of All the Hacks, to talk about what’s changed in credit card rewards, and how to decide whether to stick with travel points, switch to cash back, or run a hybrid strategy that keeps your life simple.

We dig into the “value” problem behind all those new credits and perks. Instead of letting a card dictate our spending, we walk through how to price credits based on what we would genuinely pay for them, and when it’s smarter to downgrade, negotiate a retention offer, or product change and keep your credit history intact.

We also get tactical about booking travel in 2026: newer award search tools, how much flexibility matters, and a sneaky alternative most people forget, sometimes you can buy points directly and still get a strong deal without years of “earning.”

If you want to earn more points (or waste less time chasing them), this conversation will help you reset your credit card strategy for 2026 with a clearer definition of what “worth it” even means.

Key Takeaways

 “Credits” are not value unless we were already going to buy the thing, and we’d happily pay close to face value for that discount

 The points game is still powerful, but mostly through welcome offers, not micro-optimizing bonus categories

 Flexibility is the hidden lever in award travel, the best deals often show up when we loosen the date, airport, or destination constraints

 Cash back is having a moment, especially if we want simplicity and fewer mental tabs open.

 Before canceling a fee card, we can often negotiate, downgrade, or product change and keep the credit history we’ve built

 Sometimes the best move is to stop “maximizing,” take the trip, and protect our time for higher-impact work (or actual rest)

Resources and Links

 Chris Hutchins, All the Hacks (https://www.chrishutchins.com)

 Our deep dive on credit reports and scores, Episode 221

 YouTube video mentioned on why airline loyalty programs can be worth more than the airlines themselves

 FlyFlat.com

 Seats.Aero

 Point.me

 Rome Travel

 AwardTool.com

 
PointsYeah.com Daydream Explorer

Chapters

Note: Timestamps are approximate and may vary greatly across listening platforms due to dynamically inserted ads.

(01:22) The 2025 reset for premium credit cards

(06:18) How the points game actually works in 2025

(10:29) Rethinking economy flights versus business class

(16:37) Managing credit cards during major life transitions

(23:57) Simplicity versus optimization in the points ecosystem

(36:45) Luxury perks, rising fees, and who premium cards serve

(43:34) Buying points directly instead of playing the game

(58:44) Using AI and systems to build better money habits

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Are Credit Card Rewards Really Worth It in 2026?

#669: Slade (01:43) - Slade, 44, and his wife plan to downshift careers in the next five to seven years while raising their 11-year-old daughter. They want to know how to reallocate their $685K brokerage account and plan withdrawals to make the transition financially smooth.

David (21:50) - David has a high school senior and is deciding how to pay for college. Should he tap the $60K 529 plan now or the $200K 457(b) from his wife’s former employer to maximize tax efficiency and preserve future growth?

Graham (37:52) - Graham loved the episode on holding bonds in a taxable account, but he’s curious about a tax-efficient twist. Can an asset swap strategy let you rebalance and pull cash without triggering capital gains?

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, and your family at the holiday part: https://affordanything.com/episode669
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44 Years Old, $2 Million Saved – Why They're Still Hesitant to Downshift

#668: We’re joined in-studio by David Bach, bestselling author of The Automatic Millionaire and The Latte Factor. He’s updated his most popular book (over two million copies sold) and this is his last big launch as he heads into retirement.

Together, we wrestle with a problem our listeners know well: what happens when you’ve built the habit of saving, investing, optimizing … and then feel weirdly unable to spend. 

We talk about mini-retirements, the psychology of “spend and enjoy,” and why waiting to touch retirement money can be its own kind of risk.

Key Takeaways

Think about retirement as a series of deliberate mini-retirements, not one finish line you might reach with less energy than you expected.

If you’re a dedicated saver, build a plan for the “spend and enjoy” phase so you do not accidentally optimize away the years you wanted freedom for.

Run the numbers on “small” spending habits, not to guilt yourself, but to see which choices actually buy future optionality.

Treat withdrawals, benefits, and deadlines as part of the strategy, not a paperwork problem you’ll deal with later.

If your finances feel out of reach, anchor yourself with a simple projection and one automated action, momentum beats motivation.

Resources and Links

David Bach’s website: http://davidbach.com/

David Bach’s books

The Automatic Millionaire (updated edition)

The Latte Factor

Smart Women Finish Rich

Chapters

Note: Timestamps are approximate and may vary greatly across listening platforms due to dynamically inserted ads.

(0:00) Introducing David Bach

(4:50) Radical sabbaticals, Florence and rethinking retirement

(9:10) Health scares, widowhood stats and enjoying life earlier

(11:00) Updating The Automatic Millionaire for 24 million millionaires

(15:30) Social Security strategy, RMD parties and claiming earlier

(31:30) The latte factor, avocado toast and $10 dollar decisions

(33:00) How $10 a day turns into $678,000

(34:20) Oprah behind the scenes, bricks of cash and an audience gasp

(47:10) Tiffany Aliche, $75,000 dollars of debt and other success stories

(54:25) A $53,000 income couple who retired as multimillionaires

(1:25:40) Careers in advising, hiring trends and women advisors

(1:28:37) Social Security taxes, new ideas and an eight year tax window

(1:41:27) Remembering the “why,” values based choices and using money well

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, and the "automatitions" in your life: https://affordanything.com/episode668
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Why Taking a Year Off Might Be Your Smartest Money Move, with David Bach

#667: Home prices have outpaced wages for more than a decade, and first-time buyers are stretching further every year. Now a new idea is entering the conversation, the 50-year mortgage. It promises lower monthly payments, yet it reshapes everything from equity growth to long-term risk.

In this episode we sit down with Karsten Jeske, PhD, CFA from Early Retirement Now, a former Federal Reserve economist known for forensic financial modeling. Together we walk through when a 50-year mortgage might make sense, when it clearly does not, and why the math is rarely as simple as “higher payment versus lower payment.” 

We also dig into how ultra-long mortgages could push home prices even higher, and what this means for today’s buyers and tomorrow’s retirees.

If you’ve wondered whether extended loan terms offer real affordability or just disguise the cost, this conversation gives you a clearer lens.

Key Takeaways

Why stretching to a 50-year mortgage can look affordable on paper yet leave you with far slower equity growth in the years that matter most.

The few cases where a longer mortgage term can support a deliberate strategy, such as freeing cash flow to invest, and why this only works for certain borrowers.

How inflation, appreciation, and opportunity cost change the “true” math behind 30-year versus 50-year loans.

Why ultra-long mortgages may raise home prices more than they help buyers and what this means for generational wealth.

How late-life mortgage decisions, downsizing, and step-up in basis reshape your legacy far more than the length of the loan itself.

Resources and Links

Early Retirement Now blog, Karsten’s research and mortgage modeling.

Chapters

Note: Timestamps are approximate and may vary greatly across listening platforms due to dynamically inserted ads.

(00:00) 50-year mortgage debate begins

(02:52) Karsten says it expands options for sophisticated investors

(05:42) Paula focuses on owner-occupants who can't afford houses

(11:03) Equity difference: $80K vs $20K after 10 years

(18:26) Lower payments could fund other investments

(25:17) Lenders package mortgages for institutional investors

(29:18) US doesn't issue 100-year bonds despite stability

(34:00) Small term premiums create huge returns

(43:31) Paying more interest isn't automatically bad

(48:08) First-time buyers now average age 40

(56:08) Geographic arbitrage enables mortgage payoff

(01:00:20) 50-year mortgages could inflate home prices

(01:04:51) Supply constraints drive housing affordability crisis

(01:07:29) Fed might pause rate cuts in December

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Should You Ever Get a 50 Year Mortgage? — with Dr. Karsten Jeske

#666: In this First Friday economic update, we explore the paradox defining our current economy: record-breaking retail numbers alongside plummeting consumer confidence. 

In this First Friday economic update, we explore the paradox defining our current economy: we're spending more than ever, while feeling worse about money than we have in years.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics hasn't released jobs data for two consecutive months. The Federal Reserve must make a critical interest rate decision flying blind. 

Meanwhile, private sector data reveals troubling trends. Small businesses are hemorrhaging jobs while discount chains like Dollar General see their stock prices soar 44%.

Americans are spending differently this holiday season. They're shopping earlier, using AI to find deals, and turning to buy-now-pay-later options. Households are spending less than last year, yet total spending increases because more people are participating. 

This K-shaped recovery benefits luxury retailers and bargain stores while crushing the middle market.

We also cover essential year-end financial moves. From maximizing retirement contributions to tax-loss harvesting strategies, we help you navigate your personal finances amid economic uncertainty.

The disconnect between what the numbers say – and how people feel – reveals deeper truths about an economy that's technically growing while leaving many behind.

Timestamps:

Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths.

(0:00) Spotify Wrapped and podcast listener data

(2:05) Jobs report missing, BLS delays

(5:01) ADP shows 32,000 job losses

(8:00) Youth unemployment over 10%

(10:32) Fed meeting without data

(12:24) Mortgage rates might drop below 6%

(20:06) Holiday spending hits $1 trillion

(23:43) Consumers spend less individually

(26:36) Discount stores outperform market

(28:29) Shopping starts in October now

(30:22) AI helps holiday shopping

(36:09) Giving Tuesday up 11%

(38:28) Year-end money moves

(45:00) Charity and gift tax limits

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, and your family: https://affordanything.com/episode666
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First Friday: The Strange Economics of Feeling Poor While Spending More Description:

#665: If you’ve ever stared at an insurance quote and wondered, “Is this really worth it?”, you’re not alone. Liability and umbrella policies can feel like an expensive mystery, especially when your net worth is growing and your risks are shifting.

In today’s episode, we dig into a listener’s dilemma about soaring liability and umbrella insurance costs, and we explore how to think clearly about protection, exposure, and the parts of your portfolio that may already be shielded. Along the way, we unpack how shifting household risks, driver ages, and asset location change the insurance strategy year by year.

From there, we take questions about Roth choices, future tax brackets, and whether it’s worth giving up investment flexibility to build a stronger tax triangle. These conversations get to the heart of how we balance risk, taxes, and long-term planning in the FI journey.

Listener Questions in This Episode

Andy asks: How can I protect my $2 million net worth without paying nearly $950 a month for increased auto, home, and umbrella coverage, especially with a teenage driver in the mix? (01:47)

Mike asks: Given our high current tax bracket and expected lower tax rate in retirement, does contributing to a Roth still make sense for us? (25:50)

Cindy asks: Should I move my rollover IRA into my new 401(k) so I can start doing backdoor Roth contributions, even if the investment choices are more limited? (39:47)

Key Takeaways

 Sometimes the question isn’t “umbrella or nothing,” it’s “what risk am I truly trying to insure, and for how long,” especially when a teenage driver temporarily changes the household risk profile.

 You already may have more asset protection than you think. Retirement accounts and primary residences often carry their own layers of protection, which influences how much liability insurance you actually need.

 The Roth decision hinges less on math in isolation and more on your likely future earnings, work style, and appetite for locking in today’s tax rates.

 Building a balanced tax triangle gives you flexibility later, especially when future tax rates are unknowable and retirement timing is uncertain.

 Backdoor Roths can be powerful, but only when the tradeoff between investment choice and long-term tax flexibility makes sense for your goals and timeline.

Related Episode:

Episode 649: Umbrella insurance deep dive

Chapters

Note: Timestamps are approximate and may vary greatly across listening platforms due to dynamically inserted ads.

(00:00) Offense versus defense and setting up today’s questions

(01:47) Andy asks about protecting a $2 million net worth

(12:00) What’s already protected and how coverage layers work

(17:00) Managing short-term risk when a teenager starts driving

(29:50) Mike asks whether high earners should prioritize Roth contributions

(35:07) How career trajectory and future tax rates shape Roth logic

(45:54) Building a balanced tax triangle

(47:47) Cindy asks about using a backdoor Roth to shift her tax triangle

(52:10) Tradeoffs of moving an IRA into a 401k

(54:06) How long Roth dollars need to grow to matter

Have a question for Paula and Joe? Call it in at https://affordanything.com/voicemail

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, your tax advisor: https://affordanything.com/episode665
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Q&A: How Much Insurance Is Enough When You’re Protecting Your Wealth

#664: Have any of these thoughts ever crossed your mind?

If I had more willpower, I’d achieve my financial goals.

I’m doomed to fail with money.

Budgets suck. They only show me what I did wrong and make me feel horrible.

If so, you’re not alone.

It’s not that you lack willpower.

It’s not that you’re doomed to fail with money.

It’s not that you’re a horrible person for blowing your budget.

It’s that you’re human.

And humans make emotional decisions all the time. Decisions that often defy logic.

But making emotional decisions doesn’t have to be a financial death 
sentence. Money management is a skill, which means we can improve.

When we understand the “why” behind our decisions, coupled with the 
marketing tactics that retailers use, we can guard ourselves against 
cognitive biases and sales strategies.

That’s what today’s guest is here to discuss.

Jeff Kreisler, co-author of Dollars and Sense and Editor-in-Chief of PeopleScience.com, joins us to talk about common money mistakes people make and how to avoid them.

Jeff attended Princeton University and practiced as a lawyer before 
he became an author and a speaker. He co-authored Dollars and Sense with
 Dr. Dan Ariely, a bestselling book that explores behavioral economics 
and asks why we make faulty financial decisions.

In this interview, Jeff names five common money mistakes and offers four solutions.

For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode664
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The Psychology of Sales, Discounts and Deals [GREATEST HITS]

#663: We’re living through the first era in which an investor can ask a machine to read a decade of SEC filings in seconds. That sounds powerful, but also a little terrifying. Can we trust it? And how do we use it without falling for hallucinations or built-in optimism?

In this episode, we dig into the practical, real-world ways AI can strengthen our investing process while avoiding its biggest pitfalls. If you’ve ever wondered how to blend old-school fundamentals with new-school tools, this conversation will open up an entirely new mental model.

Our guest is Brian Feroldi, an investor who has spent more than twenty years doing classic, deep-dive fundamental research. He reads SEC filings for fun, and he’s embraced AI not as a stock picker, but as a force multiplier that can turn days of research into minutes.

We talk about the specific guardrails that make AI useful for fundamental investors, including restricting sources to trusted filings, designing step-by-step instructions, and assigning the AI a role so it knows how to “think.” We also explore how to stress-test optimism bias, how to analyze companies like a forensic accountant or a short seller, and how to build prompts that match your own investing personality.

Whether you’re an index-fund loyalist with a little “fun money” or a hands-on analyst, this conversation will expand the way you evaluate businesses and make decisions.

Key Takeaways

 How a single prompt can transform AI from a loose generalist into a sharp, reliable research assistant.

 The surprising way optimism bias shows up in AI tools, and how to flip it to your advantage.

 Why limiting your data sources can make your analysis dramatically stronger.

 The role-play trick that helps you see a company the way a short seller, value investor, or even Warren Buffett might.

 A simple reframing that turns AI from a stock picker into something far more powerful for decision-making.

 The moment in the demo that revealed a blind spot even seasoned investors often miss.

Resources and Links

 Get Brian’s free business-analysis prompt at longtermmindset.co/ai

 Check out Brian’s YouTube channel: Long-Term Mindset @BrianFeroldiYT

Chapters

Note: Timestamps are approximate and may vary greatly across listening platforms due to dynamically inserted ads.

(03:02) Pros and cons of using AI for stock research

(4:55) Why Brian invests heavily in individual stocks

(12:52) Guardrails for reducing AI hallucinations

(17:22) How to write step-by-step prompts

(24:02) Using roles to shape AI’s output

(35:57) Running Brian’s prompt on Kava

(46:22) Understanding pricing power and recession behavior

(01:00:02) Evaluating management teams

(01:06:02) Using AI to reflect your investing personality

Share this episode with a friend, colleagues, and your family around the Thanksgiving table: https://affordanything.com/episode663
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Why AI Misleads Investors and How to Fix It

#353: Daniel Pink joins us to discuss an unusual theory:
(1) that our energy rises, falls, and then rises again;
(2) that this pattern plays out across our days (morning energy, afternoon slump, nighttime second wind);
(3) this also plays out across our lives, with serious implications for how we spend those “muddled middle” years of our 30’s, 40’s and 50’s.
Get the show notes delivered to your inbox by visiting https://affordanything.com/shownotes
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The Secret to Perfect Timing

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